ResearchBenchmarksProbabilistic Forecasting on ILI long termFollow0.8293CRPSStaTS0.798761.0049051.211051.417195Feb 8, 2026Evaluation ResultsMethodMethodLinksCRPSMAEMSEImprovement (%)StaTS2026.020.82930.94852.399613.08NsDiff2026.020.95411.15923.6098—TimeDiff2026.020.99151.04863.3182—D3VAE2026.021.05061.35944.1941—CSDI2026.021.39591.63115.581—DiffusionTS2026.021.59281.77716.0448—