# Partner Ordering Prediction on Deal-or-No-Deal cross-domain transfer n=1695 turn snapshots

Source: [Partner Ordering Prediction on Deal-or-No-Deal cross-domain transfer n=1695 turn snapshots](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/partner-ordering-prediction-on-deal-or-no-deal-cross-domain-transfer-n-1695-turn-snapshots>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-05-07T08:36:17.715Z

Evaluation of Partner Ordering Prediction performance on the Deal-or-No-Deal cross-domain transfer dataset (n=1695 turn snapshots), measured using metrics such as Brier score and NDCG.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Partner Ordering Prediction |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | Deal-or-No-Deal cross-domain transfer n=1695 turn snapshots |
| Metric | Brier Score |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 6 of 6 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [Brier Score](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/partner-ordering-prediction-on-deal-or-no-deal-cross-domain-transfer-n-1695-turn-snapshots.md?metric=Brier%20Score>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [EMA @ 2](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/partner-ordering-prediction-on-deal-or-no-deal-cross-domain-transfer-n-1695-turn-snapshots.md?metric=EMA%20%40%202>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [EMA 1:3](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/partner-ordering-prediction-on-deal-or-no-deal-cross-domain-transfer-n-1695-turn-snapshots.md?metric=EMA%201%3A3>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [NDCG 1:3](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/partner-ordering-prediction-on-deal-or-no-deal-cross-domain-transfer-n-1695-turn-snapshots.md?metric=NDCG%201%3A3>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

## Recorded results

| Method | Brier Score | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Few-shot | 0.1166 | Not recorded | 69fc1cac5497b3b670c88621 |
| Few-shot | 0.1207 | Not recorded | 69fc1cac5497b3b670c88621 |
| Bayesian transfer | 0.1335 | Not recorded | 69fc1cac5497b3b670c88621 |
| Bayesian transfer | 0.1438 | Not recorded | 69fc1cac5497b3b670c88621 |
| Rule baseline | 0.1605 | Not recorded | 69fc1cac5497b3b670c88621 |
| Direct posterior | 0.319 | Not recorded | 69fc1cac5497b3b670c88621 |

### Few-shot

Brier Score: 0.1166. Result ID: 69fc4e6447f34ce924df0561.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69fc1cac5497b3b670c88621.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69fc1cac5497b3b670c88621.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"strategy":"native empirical"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Few-shot

Brier Score: 0.1207. Result ID: 69fc4e6447f34ce924df0562.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69fc1cac5497b3b670c88621.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69fc1cac5497b3b670c88621.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"strategy":"renamed empirical"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Bayesian transfer

Brier Score: 0.1335. Result ID: 69fc4e6447f34ce924df0560.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69fc1cac5497b3b670c88621.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69fc1cac5497b3b670c88621.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"strategy":"renamed"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Bayesian transfer

Brier Score: 0.1438. Result ID: 69fc4e6447f34ce924df055f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69fc1cac5497b3b670c88621.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69fc1cac5497b3b670c88621.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"strategy":"native"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Rule baseline

Brier Score: 0.1605. Result ID: 69fc4e6447f34ce924df055e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69fc1cac5497b3b670c88621.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Direct posterior

Brier Score: 0.319. Result ID: 69fc4e6447f34ce924df055d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69fc1cac5497b3b670c88621.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"strategy":"renamed"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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