# Opponent modeling on CaSiNo (External)

Source: [Opponent modeling on CaSiNo (External)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/opponent-modeling-on-casino-external>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-05-07T08:36:17.758Z

Evaluation of opponent modeling performance on the CaSiNo (External) dataset, typically measured using EMA, Top-1 accuracy, and NDCG@3.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Opponent modeling |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | CaSiNo (External) |
| Metric | EMA |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 5 of 5 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [EMA](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/opponent-modeling-on-casino-external.md?metric=EMA>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Top-1 Accuracy](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/opponent-modeling-on-casino-external.md?metric=Top-1%20Accuracy>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [NDCG@3](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/opponent-modeling-on-casino-external.md?metric=NDCG%403>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

## Recorded results

| Method | EMA | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| BOND | 53.84 | Not recorded | 69fc1cac5497b3b670c88621 |
| RoBERTa CD+CA+DND | 48.72 | Not recorded | 69fc1cac5497b3b670c88621 |
| BERT CD+CA+DND | 44.22 | Not recorded | 69fc1cac5497b3b670c88621 |
| 70B structured-CoT prompted | 37.3 | Not recorded | 69fc1cac5497b3b670c88621 |
| BoW-Ranker | 27.71 | Not recorded | 69fc1cac5497b3b670c88621 |

### BOND

EMA: 53.84. Result ID: 69fc4e6447f34ce924df0567.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69fc1cac5497b3b670c88621.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69fc1cac5497b3b670c88621.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Training strategy":"Supervised SFT","Model scale":"8B","Evaluation protocol":"k-penalty"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### RoBERTa CD+CA+DND

EMA: 48.72. Result ID: 69fc4e6447f34ce924df0565.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69fc1cac5497b3b670c88621.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6c7d1e209131cea3445e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Evaluation protocol":"k-penalty"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### BERT CD+CA+DND

EMA: 44.22. Result ID: 69fc4e6447f34ce924df0564.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69fc1cac5497b3b670c88621.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6c7d1e209131cea3445e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Evaluation protocol":"k-penalty"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### 70B structured-CoT prompted

EMA: 37.3. Result ID: 69fc4e6447f34ce924df0566.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69fc1cac5497b3b670c88621.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa75d11e209131cea6a028.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/meta-llama/llama-agentic-system>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model scale":"70B","Strategy":"Prompted","Evaluation protocol":"k-penalty"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### BoW-Ranker

EMA: 27.71. Result ID: 69fc4e6447f34ce924df0563.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69fc1cac5497b3b670c88621.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6c7d1e209131cea3445e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Evaluation protocol":"k-penalty"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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