# One-step prediction on SD area temperature (test)

Source: [One-step prediction on SD area temperature (test)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/one-step-prediction-on-sd-area-temperature-test>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-02-26T05:50:36.177Z

Evaluation of models performing One-step prediction on the test split of the SD area temperature dataset, typically measured using MSE.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | One-step prediction |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | SD area temperature (test) |
| Metric | MSE |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 5 of 5 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [MSE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/one-step-prediction-on-sd-area-temperature-test.md?metric=MSE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | MSE | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DPGN | 0.5149 | Not recorded | 68fa65531e209131cea09a8e |
| GN-skip | 0.6543 | Not recorded | 68fa65531e209131cea09a8e |
| GN-only | 0.7007 | Not recorded | 68fa65531e209131cea09a8e |
| LSTM | 0.9213 | Not recorded | 68fa65531e209131cea09a8e |
| MLP | 1.0645 | Not recorded | 68fa65531e209131cea09a8e |

### DPGN

MSE: 0.5149. Result ID: 698ca6c03ce6cd2163e11c04.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65531e209131cea09a8e.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65531e209131cea09a8e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"forecast horizon":1}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GN-skip

MSE: 0.6543. Result ID: 698ca6c03ce6cd2163e11c03.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65531e209131cea09a8e.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa62321e209131ce9f8328.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"forecast horizon":1}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GN-only

MSE: 0.7007. Result ID: 698ca6c03ce6cd2163e11c02.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65531e209131cea09a8e.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa64fb1e209131cea0795e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"forecast horizon":1}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LSTM

MSE: 0.9213. Result ID: 698ca6c03ce6cd2163e11c01.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65531e209131cea09a8e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"forecast horizon":1}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### MLP

MSE: 1.0645. Result ID: 698ca6c03ce6cd2163e11c00.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65531e209131cea09a8e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"forecast horizon":1}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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