# Next-step prediction on Turbulent Radiative Layer 2D (test)

Source: [Next-step prediction on Turbulent Radiative Layer 2D (test)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/next-step-prediction-on-turbulent-radiative-layer-2d-test>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-03-06T08:38:45.977Z

Evaluation of model performance for next-step prediction on the test split of the Turbulent Radiative Layer 2D dataset, measured using VRMSE.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Next-step prediction |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | Turbulent Radiative Layer 2D (test) |
| Metric | VRMSE |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 19 of 19 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [VRMSE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/next-step-prediction-on-turbulent-radiative-layer-2d-test.md?metric=VRMSE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | VRMSE | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CKM | 0.133 | Not recorded | 68fa79f61e209131cea8049f |
| f.p.s. | 0.143 | Not recorded | 68fa79f61e209131cea8049f |
| CKM | 0.145 | Not recorded | 68fa79f61e209131cea8049f |
| CSM | 0.146 | Not recorded | 68fa79f61e209131cea8049f |
| CSM | 0.153 | Not recorded | 68fa79f61e209131cea8049f |
| f.p.s. | 0.153 | Not recorded | 68fa79f61e209131cea8049f |
| CKM | 0.154 | Not recorded | 68fa79f61e209131cea8049f |
| CKM | 0.165 | Not recorded | 68fa79f61e209131cea8049f |
| f.p.s. | 0.173 | Not recorded | 68fa79f61e209131cea8049f |
| CSM | 0.179 | Not recorded | 68fa79f61e209131cea8049f |
| CSM | 0.179 | Not recorded | 68fa79f61e209131cea8049f |
| f.p.s. | 0.186 | Not recorded | 68fa79f61e209131cea8049f |
| CKM | 0.2 | Not recorded | 68fa79f61e209131cea8049f |
| CSM | 0.204 | Not recorded | 68fa79f61e209131cea8049f |
| CKM | 0.209 | Not recorded | 68fa79f61e209131cea8049f |
| CSM | 0.211 | Not recorded | 68fa79f61e209131cea8049f |
| f.p.s. | 0.225 | Not recorded | 68fa79f61e209131cea8049f |
| Well Baseline | 0.2269 | Not recorded | 68fa79f61e209131cea8049f |
| f.p.s. | 0.238 | Not recorded | 68fa79f61e209131cea8049f |

### CKM

VRMSE: 0.133. Result ID: 69aa92726dbb7075b9545d97.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"# Tokens":"3072","Backbone":"Vanilla ViT (100M)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### f.p.s.

VRMSE: 0.143. Result ID: 69aa92726dbb7075b9545d98.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"# Tokens":"3072","Backbone":"Vanilla ViT (100M)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### CKM

VRMSE: 0.145. Result ID: 69aa92726dbb7075b9545d9a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"# Tokens":"3072","Backbone":"Axial ViT (50M)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### CSM

VRMSE: 0.146. Result ID: 69aa92726dbb7075b9545d96.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"# Tokens":"3072","Backbone":"Vanilla ViT (100M)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### CSM

VRMSE: 0.153. Result ID: 69aa92726dbb7075b9545d99.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"# Tokens":"3072","Backbone":"Axial ViT (50M)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### f.p.s.

VRMSE: 0.153. Result ID: 69aa92726dbb7075b9545d9b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"# Tokens":"3072","Backbone":"Axial ViT (50M)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### CKM

VRMSE: 0.154. Result ID: 69aa92726dbb7075b9545d9d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"# Tokens":"768","Backbone":"Vanilla ViT (100M)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### CKM

VRMSE: 0.165. Result ID: 69aa92726dbb7075b9545da0.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"# Tokens":"768","Backbone":"Axial ViT (50M)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### f.p.s.

VRMSE: 0.173. Result ID: 69aa92726dbb7075b9545d9e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"# Tokens":"768","Backbone":"Vanilla ViT (100M)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### CSM

VRMSE: 0.179. Result ID: 69aa92726dbb7075b9545d9c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"# Tokens":"768","Backbone":"Vanilla ViT (100M)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### CSM

VRMSE: 0.179. Result ID: 69aa92726dbb7075b9545d9f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"# Tokens":"768","Backbone":"Axial ViT (50M)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### f.p.s.

VRMSE: 0.186. Result ID: 69aa92726dbb7075b9545da1.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"# Tokens":"768","Backbone":"Axial ViT (50M)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### CKM

VRMSE: 0.2. Result ID: 69aa92726dbb7075b9545da3.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"# Tokens":"192","Backbone":"Vanilla ViT (100M)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### CSM

VRMSE: 0.204. Result ID: 69aa92726dbb7075b9545da2.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"# Tokens":"192","Backbone":"Vanilla ViT (100M)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### CKM

VRMSE: 0.209. Result ID: 69aa92726dbb7075b9545da6.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"# Tokens":"192","Backbone":"Axial ViT (50M)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### CSM

VRMSE: 0.211. Result ID: 69aa92726dbb7075b9545da5.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"# Tokens":"192","Backbone":"Axial ViT (50M)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### f.p.s.

VRMSE: 0.225. Result ID: 69aa92726dbb7075b9545da4.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"# Tokens":"192","Backbone":"Vanilla ViT (100M)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Well Baseline

VRMSE: 0.2269. Result ID: 69aa92726dbb7075b9545da8.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa49611e209131ce936a49.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/PolymathicAI/the_well>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### f.p.s.

VRMSE: 0.238. Result ID: 69aa92726dbb7075b9545da7.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79f61e209131cea8049f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"# Tokens":"192","Backbone":"Axial ViT (50M)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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