# Mutation Prediction on TCGA-CRC

Source: [Mutation Prediction on TCGA-CRC](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/mutation-prediction-on-tcga-crc>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-02-26T05:24:39.965Z

Evaluation of models predicting specific genetic mutations and molecular features (like MSI/TMB) within the TCGA Colorectal Cancer (CRC) cohort.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Mutation Prediction |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | TCGA-CRC |
| Metric | AUC |
| Unit | PERCENT |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 24 of 24 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [AUC](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/mutation-prediction-on-tcga-crc.md?metric=AUC>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [MSI](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/mutation-prediction-on-tcga-crc.md?metric=MSI>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [TMB](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/mutation-prediction-on-tcga-crc.md?metric=TMB>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [BRAF](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/mutation-prediction-on-tcga-crc.md?metric=BRAF>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [ALK](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/mutation-prediction-on-tcga-crc.md?metric=ALK>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [ERBB4](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/mutation-prediction-on-tcga-crc.md?metric=ERBB4>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [FBXW7](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/mutation-prediction-on-tcga-crc.md?metric=FBXW7>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [KRAS](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/mutation-prediction-on-tcga-crc.md?metric=KRAS>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [PIK3CA](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/mutation-prediction-on-tcga-crc.md?metric=PIK3CA>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [SMAD4](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/mutation-prediction-on-tcga-crc.md?metric=SMAD4>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [TP53](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/mutation-prediction-on-tcga-crc.md?metric=TP53>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [PRC](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/mutation-prediction-on-tcga-crc.md?metric=PRC>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

## Recorded results

| Method | AUC | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| autol | 94 | Not recorded | 68fa72771e209131cea56894 |
| uncert + pcgrad | 86.7 | Not recorded | 68fa72771e209131cea56894 |
| cagrad | 86.5 | Not recorded | 68fa72771e209131cea56894 |
| autol + cagrad | 86.5 | Not recorded | 68fa72771e209131cea56894 |
| naive | 86.4 | Not recorded | 68fa72771e209131cea56894 |
| uncert + cagrad | 86.3 | Not recorded | 68fa72771e209131cea56894 |
| baseline | 86.1 | Not recorded | 68fa72771e209131cea56894 |
| autol + pcgrad | 86.1 | Not recorded | 68fa72771e209131cea56894 |
| uncert | 86 | Not recorded | 68fa72771e209131cea56894 |
| graddrop | 85.8 | Not recorded | 68fa72771e209131cea56894 |
| dwa + cagrad | 85.8 | Not recorded | 68fa72771e209131cea56894 |
| dwa + pcgrad | 85.6 | Not recorded | 68fa72771e209131cea56894 |
| dwa + graddrop | 85.5 | Not recorded | 68fa72771e209131cea56894 |
| uncert + graddrop | 85.5 | Not recorded | 68fa72771e209131cea56894 |
| pcgrad | 85.4 | Not recorded | 68fa72771e209131cea56894 |
| autol + graddrop | 85.3 | Not recorded | 68fa72771e209131cea56894 |
| dwa | 84.2 | Not recorded | 68fa72771e209131cea56894 |
| SOTA | 83 | Not recorded | 68fa72771e209131cea56894 |

### autol

AUC: 94. Result ID: 69923ac73a6c3148490d78f5.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/Avic3nna/joint-mtl-cpath>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"multi\_task":true,"weighting\_strategy":"autol"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### uncert + pcgrad

AUC: 86.7. Result ID: 69923ac73a6c3148490d78fd.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/Avic3nna/joint-mtl-cpath>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"multi\_task":true,"weighting\_strategy":"uncertainty","gradient\_strategy":"pcgrad"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### cagrad

AUC: 86.5. Result ID: 69923ac73a6c3148490d78f8.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/Avic3nna/joint-mtl-cpath>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"multi\_task":true,"gradient\_strategy":"cagrad"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### autol + cagrad

AUC: 86.5. Result ID: 69923ac73a6c3148490d7901.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/Avic3nna/joint-mtl-cpath>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"multi\_task":true,"weighting\_strategy":"autol","gradient\_strategy":"cagrad"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### naive

AUC: 86.4. Result ID: 69923ac73a6c3148490d78f2.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/Avic3nna/joint-mtl-cpath>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"multi\_task":true,"weighting\_strategy":"naive"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### uncert + cagrad

AUC: 86.3. Result ID: 69923ac73a6c3148490d78fe.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/Avic3nna/joint-mtl-cpath>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"multi\_task":true,"weighting\_strategy":"uncertainty","gradient\_strategy":"cagrad"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### baseline

AUC: 86.1. Result ID: 69923ac73a6c3148490d78f1.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/Avic3nna/joint-mtl-cpath>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"multi\_task":false}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### autol + pcgrad

AUC: 86.1. Result ID: 69923ac73a6c3148490d7900.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/Avic3nna/joint-mtl-cpath>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"multi\_task":true,"weighting\_strategy":"autol","gradient\_strategy":"pcgrad"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### uncert

AUC: 86. Result ID: 69923ac73a6c3148490d78f4.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/Avic3nna/joint-mtl-cpath>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"multi\_task":true,"weighting\_strategy":"uncertainty"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### graddrop

AUC: 85.8. Result ID: 69923ac73a6c3148490d78f6.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/Avic3nna/joint-mtl-cpath>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"multi\_task":true,"gradient\_strategy":"graddrop"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### dwa + cagrad

AUC: 85.8. Result ID: 69923ac73a6c3148490d78fb.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/Avic3nna/joint-mtl-cpath>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"multi\_task":true,"weighting\_strategy":"dwa","gradient\_strategy":"cagrad"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### dwa + pcgrad

AUC: 85.6. Result ID: 69923ac73a6c3148490d78fa.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/Avic3nna/joint-mtl-cpath>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"multi\_task":true,"weighting\_strategy":"dwa","gradient\_strategy":"pcgrad"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### dwa + graddrop

AUC: 85.5. Result ID: 69923ac73a6c3148490d78f9.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/Avic3nna/joint-mtl-cpath>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"multi\_task":true,"weighting\_strategy":"dwa","gradient\_strategy":"graddrop"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### uncert + graddrop

AUC: 85.5. Result ID: 69923ac73a6c3148490d78fc.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/Avic3nna/joint-mtl-cpath>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"multi\_task":true,"weighting\_strategy":"uncertainty","gradient\_strategy":"graddrop"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### pcgrad

AUC: 85.4. Result ID: 69923ac73a6c3148490d78f7.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/Avic3nna/joint-mtl-cpath>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"multi\_task":true,"gradient\_strategy":"pcgrad"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### autol + graddrop

AUC: 85.3. Result ID: 69923ac73a6c3148490d78ff.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/Avic3nna/joint-mtl-cpath>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"multi\_task":true,"weighting\_strategy":"autol","gradient\_strategy":"graddrop"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### dwa

AUC: 84.2. Result ID: 69923ac73a6c3148490d78f3.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/Avic3nna/joint-mtl-cpath>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"multi\_task":true,"weighting\_strategy":"dwa"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### SOTA

AUC: 83. Result ID: 69923ac73a6c3148490d78f0.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea56894.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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