# Multivariate Time-series Forecasting on ETTm2 15-minute (test)

Source: [Multivariate Time-series Forecasting on ETTm2 15-minute (test)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/multivariate-time-series-forecasting-on-ettm2-15-minute-test>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-02-26T05:50:38.831Z

Evaluation of models performing Multivariate Time-series Forecasting specifically on the 15-minute granularity test split of the ETTm2 dataset, typically measured using MSE and MAE.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Multivariate Time-series Forecasting |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | ETTm2 15-minute (test) |
| Metric | MSE |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 30 of 30 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [MSE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/multivariate-time-series-forecasting-on-ettm2-15-minute-test.md?metric=MSE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MAE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/multivariate-time-series-forecasting-on-ettm2-15-minute-test.md?metric=MAE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | MSE | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Autoformer | 0.153 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| Informer | 0.173 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| Autoformer | 0.178 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| LogTrans | 0.211 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| Autoformer | 0.255 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| Informer | 0.303 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| Reformer | 0.333 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| Autoformer | 0.342 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| Informer | 0.365 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| LogTrans | 0.427 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| Autoformer | 0.434 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| Reformer | 0.558 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| LSTMa | 0.58 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| Reformer | 0.658 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| LSTMa | 0.747 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| LogTrans | 0.768 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| LSTMa | 0.969 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| Informer | 1.047 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| LogTrans | 1.09 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| LSTNet | 1.101 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| LSTMa | 2.041 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| LogTrans | 2.397 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| Reformer | 2.441 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| LSTMa | 2.541 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| LSTNet | 2.619 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| LSTNet | 2.856 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| Reformer | 3.09 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| Informer | 3.126 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| LSTNet | 3.142 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |
| LSTNet | 3.409 | Not recorded | 68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3 |

### Autoformer

MSE: 0.153. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f027b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/thuml/Autoformer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"24"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Informer

MSE: 0.173. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f0280.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa699f1e209131cea23263.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/zhouhaoyi/Informer2020>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"24"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Autoformer

MSE: 0.178. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f027c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/thuml/Autoformer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"48"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LogTrans

MSE: 0.211. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f0285.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa66e71e209131cea1309f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"24"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Autoformer

MSE: 0.255. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f027d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/thuml/Autoformer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Informer

MSE: 0.303. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f0281.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa699f1e209131cea23263.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/zhouhaoyi/Informer2020>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"48"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Reformer

MSE: 0.333. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f028a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa671b1e209131cea143ed.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/google/trax/tree/master/trax/models/reformer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"24"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Autoformer

MSE: 0.342. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f027e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/thuml/Autoformer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"288"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Informer

MSE: 0.365. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f0282.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa699f1e209131cea23263.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/zhouhaoyi/Informer2020>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LogTrans

MSE: 0.427. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f0286.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa66e71e209131cea1309f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"48"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Autoformer

MSE: 0.434. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f027f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/thuml/Autoformer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"672"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Reformer

MSE: 0.558. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f028b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa671b1e209131cea143ed.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/google/trax/tree/master/trax/models/reformer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"48"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LSTMa

MSE: 0.58. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f0294.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa627b1e209131ce9f9741.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/lisa-groundhog/GroundHog>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"24"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Reformer

MSE: 0.658. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f028c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa671b1e209131cea143ed.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/google/trax/tree/master/trax/models/reformer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LSTMa

MSE: 0.747. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f0295.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa627b1e209131ce9f9741.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/lisa-groundhog/GroundHog>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"48"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LogTrans

MSE: 0.768. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f0287.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa66e71e209131cea1309f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LSTMa

MSE: 0.969. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f0297.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa627b1e209131ce9f9741.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/lisa-groundhog/GroundHog>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"288"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Informer

MSE: 1.047. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f0283.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa699f1e209131cea23263.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/zhouhaoyi/Informer2020>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"288"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LogTrans

MSE: 1.09. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f0288.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa66e71e209131cea1309f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"288"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LSTNet

MSE: 1.101. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f028f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa643f1e209131cea036e6.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"24"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LSTMa

MSE: 2.041. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f0296.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa627b1e209131ce9f9741.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/lisa-groundhog/GroundHog>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LogTrans

MSE: 2.397. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f0289.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa66e71e209131cea1309f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"672"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Reformer

MSE: 2.441. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f028d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa671b1e209131cea143ed.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/google/trax/tree/master/trax/models/reformer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"288"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LSTMa

MSE: 2.541. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f0298.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa627b1e209131ce9f9741.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/lisa-groundhog/GroundHog>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"672"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LSTNet

MSE: 2.619. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f0290.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa643f1e209131cea036e6.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"48"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LSTNet

MSE: 2.856. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f0292.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa643f1e209131cea036e6.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"288"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Reformer

MSE: 3.09. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f028e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa671b1e209131cea143ed.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/google/trax/tree/master/trax/models/reformer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"672"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Informer

MSE: 3.126. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f0284.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa699f1e209131cea23263.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/zhouhaoyi/Informer2020>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"672"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LSTNet

MSE: 3.142. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f0291.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa643f1e209131cea036e6.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LSTNet

MSE: 3.409. Result ID: 698e993dffc3901de09f0293.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa643f1e209131cea036e6.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Predicted Length":"672"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.
