# Multivariate Load Forecasting on UT Austin 48h forecast horizon (test)

Source: [Multivariate Load Forecasting on UT Austin 48h forecast horizon (test)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/multivariate-load-forecasting-on-ut-austin-48h-forecast-horizon-test>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-06-09T07:33:10.692Z

Evaluation of models performing Multivariate Load Forecasting on the test split of the UT Austin 48h forecast horizon dataset, typically measured using RMSE, MAE, and MAPE.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Multivariate load forecasting |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | UT Austin 48h forecast horizon (test) |
| Metric | RMSE (MW) |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 5 of 5 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [RMSE (MW)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/multivariate-load-forecasting-on-ut-austin-48h-forecast-horizon-test.md?metric=RMSE%20(MW)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MAE (MW)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/multivariate-load-forecasting-on-ut-austin-48h-forecast-horizon-test.md?metric=MAE%20(MW)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MAPE (%)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/multivariate-load-forecasting-on-ut-austin-48h-forecast-horizon-test.md?metric=MAPE%20(%25)>): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT.

## Recorded results

| Method | RMSE (MW) | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Chronos | 2.63 | Not recorded | 68fa75c51e209131cea69e05 |
| TFT | 4.61 | Not recorded | 68fa75c51e209131cea69e05 |
| PatchTST | 5.21 | Not recorded | 68fa75c51e209131cea69e05 |
| TimeLLM | 6.18 | Not recorded | 68fa75c51e209131cea69e05 |
| DeepAR | 6.66 | Not recorded | 68fa75c51e209131cea69e05 |

### Chronos

RMSE (MW): 2.63. Result ID: 6a27c0b5fbc373592c2422bc.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa75c51e209131cea69e05.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa75c51e209131cea69e05.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"NWP data":"Included","Scenario":"Data-scarce","Setting":"Zero-shot"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TFT

RMSE (MW): 4.61. Result ID: 6a27c0b5fbc373592c2422b8.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa75c51e209131cea69e05.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"NWP data":"Included","Scenario":"Data-scarce"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### PatchTST

RMSE (MW): 5.21. Result ID: 6a27c0b5fbc373592c2422ba.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa75c51e209131cea69e05.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"NWP data":"Included","Scenario":"Data-scarce"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TimeLLM

RMSE (MW): 6.18. Result ID: 6a27c0b5fbc373592c2422bb.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa75c51e209131cea69e05.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72061e209131cea54379.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/KimMeen/Time-LLM>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"NWP data":"Included","Scenario":"Data-scarce"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DeepAR

RMSE (MW): 6.66. Result ID: 6a27c0b5fbc373592c2422b9.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa75c51e209131cea69e05.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"NWP data":"Included","Scenario":"Data-scarce"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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