# Multimodal Event Forecasting on GDELT IMG-TXT

Source: [Multimodal Event Forecasting on GDELT IMG-TXT](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/multimodal-event-forecasting-on-gdelt-img-txt>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-03-27T12:20:32.768Z

Evaluation of Multimodal Event Forecasting performance on the GDELT IMG-TXT dataset, measured using MRR, H@1, and H@10.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Multimodal Event Forecasting |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | GDELT IMG-TXT |
| Metric | MRR |
| Unit | PERCENT |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 34 of 34 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [MRR](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/multimodal-event-forecasting-on-gdelt-img-txt.md?metric=MRR>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [H@1](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/multimodal-event-forecasting-on-gdelt-img-txt.md?metric=H%401>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [H@10](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/multimodal-event-forecasting-on-gdelt-img-txt.md?metric=H%4010>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

## Recorded results

| Method | MRR | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DyMRL | 79.34 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| DyMRL | 75.83 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| ReTIN | 71.98 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| ReTIN | 67.56 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| LogCL | 57.04 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| RETIA | 53.62 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| CognTKE | 53.13 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| RPC | 51.14 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| ANEL | 50.59 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| TempValid | 50.31 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| TiRGN | 50.04 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| RE-GCN | 48.03 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| DySarl | 47.28 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| xERTE | 46.62 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| CENET | 41.95 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| IMF | 34.78 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| OTKGE | 31.36 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| DySarl | 30.81 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| MoSE | 29.71 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| TransAE | 26.79 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| LogCL | 23.75 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| RPC | 22.41 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| ANEL | 22.06 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| TempValid | 21.88 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| TiRGN | 21.67 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| RETIA | 20.29 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| CENET | 20.23 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| CognTKE | 20.15 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| RE-GCN | 19.64 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| xERTE | 18.09 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| IMF | 17.97 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| OTKGE | 17.01 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| MoSE | 16.76 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |
| TransAE | 13.31 | Not recorded | 69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546 |

### DyMRL

MRR: 79.34. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b03906.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DyMRL

MRR: 75.83. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b03928.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ReTIN

MRR: 71.98. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b03923.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Dynamic unimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ReTIN

MRR: 67.56. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b03901.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Dynamic unimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LogCL

MRR: 57.04. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b03924.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa71571e209131cea50a93.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Dynamic unimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### RETIA

MRR: 53.62. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b03920.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Dynamic unimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### CognTKE

MRR: 53.13. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b03926.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa765c1e209131cea6c9ee.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Dynamic unimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### RPC

MRR: 51.14. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b03922.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Dynamic unimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ANEL

MRR: 50.59. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b03927.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Dynamic unimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TempValid

MRR: 50.31. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b03925.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Dynamic unimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TiRGN

MRR: 50.04. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b0391f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Dynamic unimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### RE-GCN

MRR: 48.03. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b0391e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa69c91e209131cea24015.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Dynamic unimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DySarl

MRR: 47.28. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b0391c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Static multimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### xERTE

MRR: 46.62. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b0391d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Dynamic unimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### CENET

MRR: 41.95. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b03921.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6e251e209131cea3e22c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Dynamic unimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### IMF

MRR: 34.78. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b0391b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6ed11e209131cea4260a.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Static multimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### OTKGE

MRR: 31.36. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b0391a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Static multimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DySarl

MRR: 30.81. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b038fa.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Static multimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### MoSE

MRR: 29.71. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b03919.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6dc41e209131cea3bfab.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Static multimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TransAE

MRR: 26.79. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b03918.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Static multimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LogCL

MRR: 23.75. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b03902.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa71571e209131cea50a93.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Dynamic unimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### RPC

MRR: 22.41. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b03900.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Dynamic unimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ANEL

MRR: 22.06. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b03905.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Dynamic unimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TempValid

MRR: 21.88. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b03903.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Dynamic unimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TiRGN

MRR: 21.67. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b038fd.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Dynamic unimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### RETIA

MRR: 20.29. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b038fe.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Dynamic unimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### CENET

MRR: 20.23. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b038ff.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6e251e209131cea3e22c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Dynamic unimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### CognTKE

MRR: 20.15. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b03904.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa765c1e209131cea6c9ee.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Dynamic unimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### RE-GCN

MRR: 19.64. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b038fc.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa69c91e209131cea24015.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Dynamic unimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### xERTE

MRR: 18.09. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b038fb.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Dynamic unimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### IMF

MRR: 17.97. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b038f9.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6ed11e209131cea4260a.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Static multimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### OTKGE

MRR: 17.01. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b038f8.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Static multimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### MoSE

MRR: 16.76. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b038f7.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6dc41e209131cea3bfab.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Static multimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TransAE

MRR: 13.31. Result ID: 69c675ff47f34ce924b038f6.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c60f140636e5bf4afc8546.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Static multimodal"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.
