# Medical Reasoning on MedCaseReasoning (test)

Source: [Medical Reasoning on MedCaseReasoning (test)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/medical-reasoning-on-medcasereasoning-test>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-04-02T09:28:57.833Z

Evaluation of model performance on the test split of the MedCaseReasoning dataset, focusing on medical reasoning capabilities measured by Accuracy (ACC), AUROC, Brier score, and Expected Calibration Error (ECE).

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Medical Reasoning |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | MedCaseReasoning (test) |
| Metric | Accuracy |
| Unit | PERCENT |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 28 of 28 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [Accuracy](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/medical-reasoning-on-medcasereasoning-test.md?metric=Accuracy>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [AUROC](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/medical-reasoning-on-medcasereasoning-test.md?metric=AUROC>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [Brier Score](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/medical-reasoning-on-medcasereasoning-test.md?metric=Brier%20Score>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Expected Calibration Error](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/medical-reasoning-on-medcasereasoning-test.md?metric=Expected%20Calibration%20Error>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | Accuracy | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| GPT-5-mini | 72.5 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| GPT-5-mini + Verbalized Conf. | 72 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| GPT-5-mini + Verbalized Top-k | 70.2 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| GPT-5-mini + Verbalized Probability Distribution | 69.1 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| GPT-4.1 + Verbalized Conf. | 66.5 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| GPT-4.1 + Verbalized Distrib. | 65.5 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| GPT-4.1 | 64.4 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| GPT-4.1 + Verbalized Top-k | 62.3 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| DeepSeek-V3 + Verbalized Conf. | 57.5 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| DeepSeek-V3 | 56.8 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| DeepSeek-V3 + Verbalized Distrib. | 55.1 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| DeepSeek-V3 + Verbalized Top-k | 54.3 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct + Verbalized Top-k | 44.9 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct + Verbalized Conf. | 44.3 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct + Verbalized Distrib. | 42.9 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct | 40.4 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct + Logit | 40.4 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct + p(True) | 40.4 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-4B-Thinking | 31.7 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-4B-Instruct + Verbalized Conf. | 31.5 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-4B-Thinking + Verbalized Conf. | 31.5 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-4B-Instruct + Verbalized Distrib. | 31.1 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-4B-Thinking + Verbalized Top-k | 30.9 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-4B-Instruct + Verbalized Top-k | 30.1 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-4B-Instruct | 29.8 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-4B-Instruct + Logit | 29.8 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-4B-Instruct + p(True) | 29.8 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-4B-Thinking + Verbalized Probability Distribution | 29 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |

### GPT-5-mini

Accuracy: 72.5. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b092.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone Model":"GPT-5-mini","Confidence Estimation Strategy":"Base"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GPT-5-mini + Verbalized Conf.

Accuracy: 72. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b093.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70f81e209131cea4e72e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone Model":"GPT-5-mini","Confidence Estimation Strategy":"Verbalized Conf."}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GPT-5-mini + Verbalized Top-k

Accuracy: 70.2. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b094.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70f81e209131cea4e72e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone Model":"GPT-5-mini","Confidence Estimation Strategy":"Verbalized Top-k"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GPT-5-mini + Verbalized Probability Distribution

Accuracy: 69.1. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b095.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone Model":"GPT-5-mini","Confidence Estimation Strategy":"Verbalized Probability Distribution"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GPT-4.1 + Verbalized Conf.

Accuracy: 66.5. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b077.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70f81e209131cea4e72e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"GPT-4.1","Inference Strategy":"+ Verbalized Conf."}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GPT-4.1 + Verbalized Distrib.

Accuracy: 65.5. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b079.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"GPT-4.1","Inference Strategy":"+ Verbalized Probability Distribution"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GPT-4.1

Accuracy: 64.4. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b076.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"GPT-4.1","Inference Strategy":"Base"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GPT-4.1 + Verbalized Top-k

Accuracy: 62.3. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b078.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70f81e209131cea4e72e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"GPT-4.1","Inference Strategy":"+ Verbalized Top-k"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DeepSeek-V3 + Verbalized Conf.

Accuracy: 57.5. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b07b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70f81e209131cea4e72e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"DeepSeek-V3","Inference Strategy":"+ Verbalized Conf."}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DeepSeek-V3

Accuracy: 56.8. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b07a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"DeepSeek-V3","Inference Strategy":"Base"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DeepSeek-V3 + Verbalized Distrib.

Accuracy: 55.1. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b07d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"DeepSeek-V3","Inference Strategy":"+ Verbalized Probability Distribution"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DeepSeek-V3 + Verbalized Top-k

Accuracy: 54.3. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b07c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70f81e209131cea4e72e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"DeepSeek-V3","Inference Strategy":"+ Verbalized Top-k"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct + Verbalized Top-k

Accuracy: 44.9. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b074.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70f81e209131cea4e72e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct","Inference Strategy":"+ Verbalized Top-k"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct + Verbalized Conf.

Accuracy: 44.3. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b073.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70f81e209131cea4e72e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct","Inference Strategy":"+ Verbalized Conf."}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct + Verbalized Distrib.

Accuracy: 42.9. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b075.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct","Inference Strategy":"+ Verbalized Probability Distribution"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct

Accuracy: 40.4. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b070.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct","Inference Strategy":"Base"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct + Logit

Accuracy: 40.4. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b071.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6df71e209131cea3d034.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct","Inference Strategy":"+ Logit"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct + p(True)

Accuracy: 40.4. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b072.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6df71e209131cea3d034.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct","Inference Strategy":"+ p(True)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-4B-Thinking

Accuracy: 31.7. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b08e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa788e1e209131cea79116.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone Model":"Qwen3-4B-Thinking","Confidence Estimation Strategy":"Base"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-4B-Instruct + Verbalized Conf.

Accuracy: 31.5. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b06d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70f81e209131cea4e72e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Qwen3-4B-Instruct","Inference Strategy":"+ Verbalized Conf."}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-4B-Thinking + Verbalized Conf.

Accuracy: 31.5. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b08f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70f81e209131cea4e72e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone Model":"Qwen3-4B-Thinking","Confidence Estimation Strategy":"Verbalized Conf."}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-4B-Instruct + Verbalized Distrib.

Accuracy: 31.1. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b06f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Qwen3-4B-Instruct","Inference Strategy":"+ Verbalized Probability Distribution"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-4B-Thinking + Verbalized Top-k

Accuracy: 30.9. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b090.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70f81e209131cea4e72e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone Model":"Qwen3-4B-Thinking","Confidence Estimation Strategy":"Verbalized Top-k"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-4B-Instruct + Verbalized Top-k

Accuracy: 30.1. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b06e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70f81e209131cea4e72e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Qwen3-4B-Instruct","Inference Strategy":"+ Verbalized Top-k"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-4B-Instruct

Accuracy: 29.8. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b06a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Qwen3-4B-Instruct","Inference Strategy":"Base"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-4B-Instruct + Logit

Accuracy: 29.8. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b06b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6df71e209131cea3d034.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Qwen3-4B-Instruct","Inference Strategy":"+ Logit"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-4B-Instruct + p(True)

Accuracy: 29.8. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b06c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6df71e209131cea3d034.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Qwen3-4B-Instruct","Inference Strategy":"+ p(True)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-4B-Thinking + Verbalized Probability Distribution

Accuracy: 29. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b091.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone Model":"Qwen3-4B-Thinking","Confidence Estimation Strategy":"Verbalized Probability Distribution"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.
