# Mathematical Reasoning on AIME (ECE and Brier Score) Source: [Mathematical Reasoning on AIME (ECE and Brier Score)]() Collection index: [llms.txt]() Data updated: 2026-03-05T07:28:40.476Z Evaluation of model performance on the American Invitational Mathematics Examination (AIME) dataset, focusing on calibration and uncertainty quantification using Expected Calibration Error (ECE) and Brier score. A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage. | Scope | Recorded value | | --- | --- | | Task | Mathematical Reasoning | | Dataset (including any stated split) | AIME | | Metric | ECE | | Unit | SCALAR | | Direction | Lower is better | | Results loaded | 17 of 17 | | Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark | Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol. ## Metrics - [ECE](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [Brier Score](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. ## Recorded results | Method | ECE | Result date | Report paper | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | MSV 64 | 0.0749 | Not recorded | 69a90de32d603e6de3e40602 | | MSV 16 | 0.0876 | Not recorded | 69a90de32d603e6de3e40602 | | MSV 4 | 0.1019 | Not recorded | 69a90de32d603e6de3e40602 | | Probe | 0.1024 | Not recorded | 69a90de32d603e6de3e40602 | | MSV 1 | 0.1043 | Not recorded | 69a90de32d603e6de3e40602 | | Probe + WV 64 | 0.1222 | Not recorded | 69a90de32d603e6de3e40602 | | MSV 1 + WV 64 | 0.1302 | Not recorded | 69a90de32d603e6de3e40602 | | Probe + WV 16 | 0.1633 | Not recorded | 69a90de32d603e6de3e40602 | | MSV 1 + WV 16 | 0.1659 | Not recorded | 69a90de32d603e6de3e40602 | | MSV 1 | 0.1661 | Not recorded | 69a90de32d603e6de3e40602 | | Probe | 0.1703 | Not recorded | 69a90de32d603e6de3e40602 | | Probe | 0.2364 | Not recorded | 69a90de32d603e6de3e40602 | | MSV 1 | 0.2407 | Not recorded | 69a90de32d603e6de3e40602 | | Probe | 0.3013 | Not recorded | 69a90de32d603e6de3e40602 | | MSV 1 + WV 4 | 0.3149 | Not recorded | 69a90de32d603e6de3e40602 | | MSV 1 | 0.3162 | Not recorded | 69a90de32d603e6de3e40602 | | Probe + WV 4 | 0.3204 | Not recorded | 69a90de32d603e6de3e40602 | ### MSV 64 ECE: 0.0749. Result ID: 69a9309b6dbb7075b95232de. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"N":"64"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### MSV 16 ECE: 0.0876. Result ID: 69a9309b6dbb7075b95232d9. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"N":"16"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### MSV 4 ECE: 0.1019. Result ID: 69a9309b6dbb7075b95232d4. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"N":"4"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Probe ECE: 0.1024. Result ID: 69a9309b6dbb7075b95232ce. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"N":"1"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### MSV 1 ECE: 0.1043. Result ID: 69a9309b6dbb7075b95232cf. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"N":"1"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Probe + WV 64 ECE: 0.1222. Result ID: 69a9309b6dbb7075b95232dc. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"N":"64"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### MSV 1 + WV 64 ECE: 0.1302. Result ID: 69a9309b6dbb7075b95232dd. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"N":"64"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Probe + WV 16 ECE: 0.1633. Result ID: 69a9309b6dbb7075b95232d7. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"N":"16"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### MSV 1 + WV 16 ECE: 0.1659. Result ID: 69a9309b6dbb7075b95232d8. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"N":"16"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### MSV 1 ECE: 0.1661. Result ID: 69a9309b6dbb7075b95232d1. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"N":"4"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Probe ECE: 0.1703. Result ID: 69a9309b6dbb7075b95232d0. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"N":"4"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Probe ECE: 0.2364. Result ID: 69a9309b6dbb7075b95232d5. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"N":"16"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### MSV 1 ECE: 0.2407. Result ID: 69a9309b6dbb7075b95232d6. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"N":"16"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Probe ECE: 0.3013. Result ID: 69a9309b6dbb7075b95232da. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"N":"64"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### MSV 1 + WV 4 ECE: 0.3149. Result ID: 69a9309b6dbb7075b95232d3. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"N":"4"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### MSV 1 ECE: 0.3162. Result ID: 69a9309b6dbb7075b95232db. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"N":"64"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Probe + WV 4 ECE: 0.3204. Result ID: 69a9309b6dbb7075b95232d2. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"N":"4"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.