# Marginal Log-Likelihood Estimation on DS8 64 Taxa, 1008 Sites

Source: [Marginal Log-Likelihood Estimation on DS8 64 Taxa, 1008 Sites](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/marginal-log-likelihood-estimation-on-ds8-64-taxa-1008-sites>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-02-26T05:51:37.338Z

Evaluation of Marginal Log-Likelihood Estimation performance on the DS8 dataset, comprising 64 Taxa and 1008 Sites.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Marginal Log-Likelihood Estimation |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | DS8 64 Taxa, 1008 Sites |
| Metric | Marginal Log-Likelihood |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 29 of 29 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [Marginal Log-Likelihood](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/marginal-log-likelihood-estimation-on-ds8-64-taxa-1008-sites.md?metric=Marginal%20Log-Likelihood>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | Marginal Log-Likelihood | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CSMC | -11013.57 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| ϕ-CSMC | -9209.18 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8736.81 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8727.93 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8719.44 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8717.27 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8716.61 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8691.96 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8691.38 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8690.41 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8684.9 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8684.38 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8683.54 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8683.22 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8679.48 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8673.15 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8671.32 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8666.85 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8666.68 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8666.63 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8666.39 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8665.99 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8665.54 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8663.51 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8662.53 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8660.48 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| VBPI-GNN | -8650.65 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| MrBayes SS | -8649.88 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| MrBayes SS (Replication) | -8646.18 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |

### CSMC

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -11013.57. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f19.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ϕ-CSMC

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -9209.18. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f1a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f491e209131ce9e8b8a.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/Lagergren-Lab/VaiPhy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -8736.81. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f21.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"2","CV":"LAX"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -8727.93. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f1b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"2","CV":"LAX"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -8719.44. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f27.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"2","CV":"LAX"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -8717.27. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f2d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"2","CV":"LAX"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -8716.61. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f1c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"2","CV":"LOO(3)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -8691.96. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f23.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"2","CV":"LOO(3)+"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -8691.38. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f1d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"2","CV":"LOO(3)+"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -8690.41. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f28.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"2","CV":"LOO(3)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -8684.9. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f2e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"2","CV":"LOO(3)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -8684.38. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f22.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"2","CV":"LOO(3)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -8683.54. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f2f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"2","CV":"LOO(3)+"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -8683.22. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f29.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"2","CV":"LOO(3)+"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -8679.48. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f1e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"4","CV":"LAX"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -8673.15. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f2b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"4","CV":"LOO(3)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -8671.32. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f31.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"4","CV":"LOO(3)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -8666.85. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f2a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"4","CV":"LAX"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -8666.68. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f2c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"4","CV":"LOO(3)+"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -8666.63. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f25.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"4","CV":"LOO(3)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -8666.39. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f26.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"4","CV":"LOO(3)+"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -8665.99. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f20.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"4","CV":"LOO(3)+"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -8665.54. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f1f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"4","CV":"LOO(3)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -8663.51. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f30.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"4","CV":"LAX"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -8662.53. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f24.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"4","CV":"LAX"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -8660.48. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f32.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"4","CV":"LOO(3)+"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### VBPI-GNN

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -8650.65. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f18.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f461e209131ce9e8a35.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### MrBayes SS

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -8649.88. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f16.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### MrBayes SS (Replication)

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -8646.18. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711f17.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.
