# Marginal Log-Likelihood Estimation on DS5 50 Taxa, 378 Sites

Source: [Marginal Log-Likelihood Estimation on DS5 50 Taxa, 378 Sites](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/marginal-log-likelihood-estimation-on-ds5-50-taxa-378-sites>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-02-26T05:49:55.178Z

Evaluation of Marginal Log-Likelihood Estimation performance on the DS5 50 Taxa, 378 Sites dataset, typically measured using MLL.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Marginal Log-Likelihood Estimation |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | DS5 50 Taxa, 378 Sites |
| Metric | MLL |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 30 of 30 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [MLL](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/marginal-log-likelihood-estimation-on-ds5-50-taxa-378-sites.md?metric=MLL>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | MLL | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| VCSMC | -9449.65 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| CSMC | -8940.62 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| ϕ-CSMC | -8367.51 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8251.99 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8251.45 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8251.09 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8251.01 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8243.92 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8241.25 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8241.07 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8240.87 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8239.96 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8239.55 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8239.36 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8238.16 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8237.75 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8237.33 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8236.99 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8236.9 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8236.69 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8236.42 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8236.13 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8235.41 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8235.03 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8234.18 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8234.06 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -8233.89 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| VBPI-GNN | -8214.64 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| MrBayes SS | -8214.51 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| MrBayes SS (Replication) | -8209.17 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |

### VCSMC

MLL: -9449.65. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711ec3.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6a281e209131cea26715.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### CSMC

MLL: -8940.62. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711ec2.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ϕ-CSMC

MLL: -8367.51. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711ec4.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f491e209131ce9e8b8a.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/Lagergren-Lab/VaiPhy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

MLL: -8251.99. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711ec5.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"2","CV":"LAX"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

MLL: -8251.45. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711ed1.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"2","CV":"LAX"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

MLL: -8251.09. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711ed7.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"2","CV":"LAX"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

MLL: -8251.01. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711ecb.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"2","CV":"LAX"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

MLL: -8243.92. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711ed4.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"4","CV":"LAX"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

MLL: -8241.25. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711ed0.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"4","CV":"LOO(3)+"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

MLL: -8241.07. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711ec8.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"4","CV":"LAX"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

MLL: -8240.87. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711eda.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"4","CV":"LAX"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

MLL: -8239.96. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711ecd.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"2","CV":"LOO(3)+"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

MLL: -8239.55. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711ed9.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"2","CV":"LOO(3)+"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

MLL: -8239.36. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711ed2.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"2","CV":"LOO(3)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

MLL: -8238.16. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711ec9.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"4","CV":"LOO(3)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

MLL: -8237.75. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711ecc.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"2","CV":"LOO(3)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

MLL: -8237.33. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711ece.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"4","CV":"LAX"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

MLL: -8236.99. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711ec6.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"2","CV":"LOO(3)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

MLL: -8236.9. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711ed8.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"2","CV":"LOO(3)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

MLL: -8236.69. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711eca.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"4","CV":"LOO(3)+"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

MLL: -8236.42. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711ed5.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"4","CV":"LOO(3)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

MLL: -8236.13. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711ec7.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"2","CV":"LOO(3)+"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

MLL: -8235.41. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711ed3.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"2","CV":"LOO(3)+"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

MLL: -8235.03. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711ed6.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"4","CV":"LOO(3)+"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

MLL: -8234.18. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711ecf.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"4","CV":"LOO(3)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

MLL: -8234.06. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711edb.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"4","CV":"LOO(3)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

MLL: -8233.89. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711edc.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"4","CV":"LOO(3)+"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### VBPI-GNN

MLL: -8214.64. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711ec1.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f461e209131ce9e8a35.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### MrBayes SS

MLL: -8214.51. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711ebf.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### MrBayes SS (Replication)

MLL: -8209.17. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711ec0.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.
