# Marginal Log-Likelihood Estimation on DS1 27 Taxa, 1949 Sites

Source: [Marginal Log-Likelihood Estimation on DS1 27 Taxa, 1949 Sites](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/marginal-log-likelihood-estimation-on-ds1-27-taxa-1949-sites>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-02-26T05:51:37.292Z

Evaluation of Marginal Log-Likelihood Estimation performance on the DS1 27 Taxa, 1949 Sites dataset.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Marginal Log-Likelihood Estimation |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | DS1 27 Taxa, 1949 Sites |
| Metric | Marginal Log-Likelihood |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 30 of 30 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [Marginal Log-Likelihood](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/marginal-log-likelihood-estimation-on-ds1-27-taxa-1949-sites.md?metric=Marginal%20Log-Likelihood>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | Marginal Log-Likelihood | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| MrBayes SS (Replication) | -7107.81 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| VBPI-GNN | -7108.41 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| MrBayes SS | -7108.42 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -7111.55 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -7115.19 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -7116.09 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -7119.77 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -7119.81 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -7120.03 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -7120.88 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -7120.94 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -7122.1 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -7122.76 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -7123.37 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -7123.95 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -7124.62 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -7124.63 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -7125.78 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -7125.94 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -7126.79 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -7126.89 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -7128.36 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -7128.4 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -7129.7 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -7130.6 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -7130.67 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| GeoPhy | -7132.35 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| ϕ-CSMC | -7290.36 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| CSMC | -8306.76 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |
| VCSMC | -9180.34 | Not recorded | 68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62 |

### MrBayes SS (Replication)

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -7107.81. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e48.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### VBPI-GNN

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -7108.41. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e49.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f461e209131ce9e8a35.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### MrBayes SS

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -7108.42. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e47.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -7111.55. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e62.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"4","CV":"LAX"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -7115.19. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e61.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"2","CV":"LOO(3)+"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -7116.09. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e64.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"4","CV":"LOO(3)+"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -7119.77. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e63.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"4","CV":"LOO(3)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -7119.81. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e52.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"4","CV":"LOO(3)+"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -7120.03. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e56.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"4","CV":"LAX"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -7120.88. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e51.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"4","CV":"LOO(3)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -7120.94. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e5d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"4","CV":"LOO(3)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -7122.1. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e5c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"4","CV":"LAX"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -7122.76. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e55.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"2","CV":"LOO(3)+"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -7123.37. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e58.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"4","CV":"LOO(3)+"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -7123.95. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e50.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"4","CV":"LAX"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -7124.62. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e57.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"4","CV":"LOO(3)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -7124.63. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e5f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"2","CV":"LAX"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -7125.78. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e5e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"4","CV":"LOO(3)+"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -7125.94. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e60.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"2","CV":"LOO(3)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -7126.79. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e4d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"2","CV":"LAX"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -7126.89. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e59.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"2","CV":"LAX"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -7128.36. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e4f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"2","CV":"LOO(3)+"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -7128.4. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e5b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"2","CV":"LOO(3)+"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -7129.7. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e53.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"2","CV":"LAX"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -7130.6. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e4e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"2","CV":"LOO(3)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -7130.67. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e5a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Wrapped Normal (WN)","Covariance Matrix":"diagonal","Dimension":"2","CV":"LOO(3)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GeoPhy

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -7132.35. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e54.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/m1m0r1/geophy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Distribution":"Normal (N)","Covariance Matrix":"full","Dimension":"2","CV":"LOO(3)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ϕ-CSMC

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -7290.36. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e4c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f491e209131ce9e8b8a.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/Lagergren-Lab/VaiPhy>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### CSMC

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -8306.76. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e4a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### VCSMC

Marginal Log-Likelihood: -9180.34. Result ID: 698bc1527a967eddb7711e4b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa5f4d1e209131ce9e8d62.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6a281e209131cea26715.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.
