# Macro-level panic propagation prediction on Hurricane Sandy

Source: [Macro-level panic propagation prediction on Hurricane Sandy](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/macro-level-panic-propagation-prediction-on-hurricane-sandy>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-06-16T07:30:05.015Z

Evaluation of models predicting macro-level panic propagation dynamics using the Hurricane Sandy dataset, measured by metrics such as Peak Count, Peak Time Step, Peak Error, and Time Error.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Macro-level panic propagation prediction |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | Hurricane Sandy |
| Metric | Peak Count |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 13 of 13 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [Peak Count](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/macro-level-panic-propagation-prediction-on-hurricane-sandy.md?metric=Peak%20Count>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Peak Time Step](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/macro-level-panic-propagation-prediction-on-hurricane-sandy.md?metric=Peak%20Time%20Step>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Peak Error](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/macro-level-panic-propagation-prediction-on-hurricane-sandy.md?metric=Peak%20Error>): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [Time Error](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/macro-level-panic-propagation-prediction-on-hurricane-sandy.md?metric=Time%20Error>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | Peak Count | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| LAIDSim | 6985 | Not recorded | 6a30d870d33dfb23e783cb17 |
| Simple Prompt | 3187 | Not recorded | 6a30d870d33dfb23e783cb17 |
| SOAR | 939 | Not recorded | 6a30d870d33dfb23e783cb17 |
| ECR-Chain | 790 | Not recorded | 6a30d870d33dfb23e783cb17 |
| PCP | 712 | Not recorded | 6a30d870d33dfb23e783cb17 |
| CPM-RL | 524 | Not recorded | 6a30d870d33dfb23e783cb17 |
| Crowd | 308 | Not recorded | 6a30d870d33dfb23e783cb17 |
| ABM-HybridSpaces | 271 | Not recorded | 6a30d870d33dfb23e783cb17 |
| BASS | 231 | Not recorded | 6a30d870d33dfb23e783cb17 |
| SLIRS | 186 | Not recorded | 6a30d870d33dfb23e783cb17 |
| E-USIM | 180 | Not recorded | 6a30d870d33dfb23e783cb17 |
| Voter | 90 | Not recorded | 6a30d870d33dfb23e783cb17 |
| GODEN | 19 | Not recorded | 6a30d870d33dfb23e783cb17 |

### LAIDSim

Peak Count: 6985. Result ID: 6a30fb74fbc373592c2cd7dd.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d870d33dfb23e783cb17.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Category":"Reasoning-Enhanced"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Simple Prompt

Peak Count: 3187. Result ID: 6a30fb74fbc373592c2cd7de.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d870d33dfb23e783cb17.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Category":"Reasoning-Enhanced"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### SOAR

Peak Count: 939. Result ID: 6a30fb74fbc373592c2cd7d9.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d870d33dfb23e783cb17.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Category":"Agent-Based Simulation"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ECR-Chain

Peak Count: 790. Result ID: 6a30fb74fbc373592c2cd7dc.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d870d33dfb23e783cb17.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa734b1e209131cea5b9e9.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Category":"Reasoning-Enhanced"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### PCP

Peak Count: 712. Result ID: 6a30fb74fbc373592c2cd7e0.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d870d33dfb23e783cb17.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d870d33dfb23e783cb17.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Category":"Reasoning-Enhanced"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### CPM-RL

Peak Count: 524. Result ID: 6a30fb74fbc373592c2cd7df.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d870d33dfb23e783cb17.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa71081e209131cea4eb95.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Category":"Reasoning-Enhanced"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Crowd

Peak Count: 308. Result ID: 6a30fb74fbc373592c2cd7d8.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d870d33dfb23e783cb17.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa7a0d1e209131cea80cfb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Category":"Agent-Based Simulation"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ABM-HybridSpaces

Peak Count: 271. Result ID: 6a30fb74fbc373592c2cd7d7.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d870d33dfb23e783cb17.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Category":"Agent-Based Simulation"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### BASS

Peak Count: 231. Result ID: 6a30fb74fbc373592c2cd7d5.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d870d33dfb23e783cb17.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Category":"Traditional Dynamical"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### SLIRS

Peak Count: 186. Result ID: 6a30fb74fbc373592c2cd7d4.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d870d33dfb23e783cb17.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Category":"Traditional Dynamical"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### E-USIM

Peak Count: 180. Result ID: 6a30fb74fbc373592c2cd7da.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d870d33dfb23e783cb17.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Category":"End-to-End Prediction"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Voter

Peak Count: 90. Result ID: 6a30fb74fbc373592c2cd7d6.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d870d33dfb23e783cb17.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa45c91e209131ce91b672.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Category":"Traditional Dynamical"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GODEN

Peak Count: 19. Result ID: 6a30fb74fbc373592c2cd7db.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d870d33dfb23e783cb17.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Category":"End-to-End Prediction"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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