# Long-term Time Series Forecasting on Weather (MAE, RMSE, WAPE) Source: [Long-term Time Series Forecasting on Weather (MAE, RMSE, WAPE)]() Collection index: [llms.txt]() Data updated: 2026-02-26T05:49:17.115Z Evaluation of models performing long-term time series forecasting on the Weather dataset, measured using Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), and Weighted Absolute Percentage Error (WAPE). A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage. | Scope | Recorded value | | --- | --- | | Task | Long-term Time Series Forecasting | | Dataset (including any stated split) | Weather | | Metric | MAE | | Unit | SCALAR | | Direction | Lower is better | | Results loaded | 28 of 28 | | Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark | Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol. ## Metrics - [MAE](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [RMSE](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [WAPE](): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT. ## Recorded results | Method | MAE | Result date | Report paper | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Dualformer | 10.85 | Not recorded | 6973006eb2be0ed85a78c8f5 | | PatchTST | 12.08 | Not recorded | 6973006eb2be0ed85a78c8f5 | | DLinear | 12.29 | Not recorded | 6973006eb2be0ed85a78c8f5 | | vanilla Transformer | 14.2523 | Not recorded | 6940e767456146936284f581 | | vanilla Transformer | 15.115 | Not recorded | 6940e767456146936284f581 | | iTransformer | 15.61 | Not recorded | 6973006eb2be0ed85a78c8f5 | | PatchTST | 16.9784 | Not recorded | 6940e767456146936284f581 | | vanilla Transformer | 17.0746 | Not recorded | 6940e767456146936284f581 | | PatchTST | 17.1251 | Not recorded | 6940e767456146936284f581 | | vanilla Transformer | 17.2801 | Not recorded | 6940e767456146936284f581 | | iTransformer | 18.9094 | Not recorded | 6940e767456146936284f581 | | PatchTST | 19.0034 | Not recorded | 6940e767456146936284f581 | | iTransformer | 19.2918 | Not recorded | 6940e767456146936284f581 | | Informer | 19.3862 | Not recorded | 6940e767456146936284f581 | | Informer | 19.7799 | Not recorded | 6940e767456146936284f581 | | TwinFormer | 20.4612 | Not recorded | 6940e767456146936284f581 | | PatchTST | 20.5038 | Not recorded | 6940e767456146936284f581 | | TwinFormer | 22.0061 | Not recorded | 6940e767456146936284f581 | | Informer | 22.0616 | Not recorded | 6940e767456146936284f581 | | TwinFormer | 22.2875 | Not recorded | 6940e767456146936284f581 | | iTransformer | 22.5815 | Not recorded | 6940e767456146936284f581 | | iTransformer | 22.9454 | Not recorded | 6940e767456146936284f581 | | Informer | 23.0586 | Not recorded | 6940e767456146936284f581 | | TwinFormer | 23.2499 | Not recorded | 6940e767456146936284f581 | | FEDFormer | 24.1458 | Not recorded | 6940e767456146936284f581 | | FEDFormer | 31.6785 | Not recorded | 6940e767456146936284f581 | | FEDFormer | 33.3565 | Not recorded | 6940e767456146936284f581 | | FEDFormer | 39.0595 | Not recorded | 6940e767456146936284f581 | ### Dualformer MAE: 10.85. Result ID: 699923bc5698665ec48b1a05. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"evaluation\_mode":"re-normalized","aggregation":"average results across prediction lengths"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### PatchTST MAE: 12.08. Result ID: 699923bc5698665ec48b1a06. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"evaluation\_mode":"re-normalized","aggregation":"average results across prediction lengths"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### DLinear MAE: 12.29. Result ID: 699923bc5698665ec48b1a03. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"evaluation\_mode":"re-normalized","aggregation":"average results across prediction lengths"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### vanilla Transformer MAE: 14.2523. Result ID: 6999663b5698665ec4d344a1. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"120"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### vanilla Transformer MAE: 15.115. Result ID: 6999663b5698665ec4d3449b. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### iTransformer MAE: 15.61. Result ID: 699923bc5698665ec48b1a04. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"evaluation\_mode":"re-normalized","aggregation":"average results across prediction lengths"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### PatchTST MAE: 16.9784. Result ID: 6999663b5698665ec4d3449e. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### vanilla Transformer MAE: 17.0746. Result ID: 6999663b5698665ec4d344a7. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### PatchTST MAE: 17.1251. Result ID: 6999663b5698665ec4d344a4. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"120"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### vanilla Transformer MAE: 17.2801. Result ID: 6999663b5698665ec4d344ad. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### iTransformer MAE: 18.9094. Result ID: 6999663b5698665ec4d344a5. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"120"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### PatchTST MAE: 19.0034. Result ID: 6999663b5698665ec4d344aa. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### iTransformer MAE: 19.2918. Result ID: 6999663b5698665ec4d3449f. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Informer MAE: 19.3862. Result ID: 6999663b5698665ec4d3449c. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Informer MAE: 19.7799. Result ID: 6999663b5698665ec4d344a2. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"120"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TwinFormer MAE: 20.4612. Result ID: 6999663b5698665ec4d344a0. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### PatchTST MAE: 20.5038. Result ID: 6999663b5698665ec4d344b0. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TwinFormer MAE: 22.0061. Result ID: 6999663b5698665ec4d344a6. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"120"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Informer MAE: 22.0616. Result ID: 6999663b5698665ec4d344a8. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TwinFormer MAE: 22.2875. Result ID: 6999663b5698665ec4d344b2. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### iTransformer MAE: 22.5815. Result ID: 6999663b5698665ec4d344ab. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### iTransformer MAE: 22.9454. Result ID: 6999663b5698665ec4d344b1. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Informer MAE: 23.0586. Result ID: 6999663b5698665ec4d344ae. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TwinFormer MAE: 23.2499. Result ID: 6999663b5698665ec4d344ac. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FEDFormer MAE: 24.1458. Result ID: 6999663b5698665ec4d3449d. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FEDFormer MAE: 31.6785. Result ID: 6999663b5698665ec4d344a3. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"120"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FEDFormer MAE: 33.3565. Result ID: 6999663b5698665ec4d344af. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FEDFormer MAE: 39.0595. Result ID: 6999663b5698665ec4d344a9. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.