# Long-term forecasting on Weather (MSE at 96, 192, 336, 720 steps)

Source: [Long-term forecasting on Weather (MSE at 96, 192, 336, 720 steps)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-weather-mse-at-96-192-336-720-steps>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-06-16T11:13:23.291Z

Evaluation of models performing long-term forecasting on the Weather dataset, specifically reporting Mean Squared Error (MSE) at forecast horizons of 96, 192, 336, and 720 time steps.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Long-term forecasting |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | Weather |
| Metric | MSE (96 steps) |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 7 of 7 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [MSE (96 steps)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-weather-mse-at-96-192-336-720-steps.md?metric=MSE%20(96%20steps)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MSE (192 steps)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-weather-mse-at-96-192-336-720-steps.md?metric=MSE%20(192%20steps)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MSE (336 steps)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-weather-mse-at-96-192-336-720-steps.md?metric=MSE%20(336%20steps)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MSE (720 steps)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-weather-mse-at-96-192-336-720-steps.md?metric=MSE%20(720%20steps)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | MSE (96 steps) | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| FITS | 0.143 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d |
| PatchTST | 0.151 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d |
| HAMON-DiffInt | 0.153 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d |
| TimesNet | 0.172 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d |
| DLinear | 0.174 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d |
| HAMON-Coh | 0.18 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d |
| FEDformer | 0.246 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d |

### FITS

MSE (96 steps): 0.143. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8f91.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa71bd1e209131cea52dd5.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/VEWOXIC/FITS>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### PatchTST

MSE (96 steps): 0.151. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8f8d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa71bd1e209131cea52dd5.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/VEWOXIC/FITS>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### HAMON-DiffInt

MSE (96 steps): 0.153. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8f93.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Encoding":"phase encoding","Readout":"differential intensity readout","Lookback":"336","Number of phase-mask layers":"16"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TimesNet

MSE (96 steps): 0.172. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8f90.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa71bd1e209131cea52dd5.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/VEWOXIC/FITS>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DLinear

MSE (96 steps): 0.174. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8f8e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa71bd1e209131cea52dd5.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/VEWOXIC/FITS>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### HAMON-Coh

MSE (96 steps): 0.18. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8f92.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Encoding":"amplitude encoding","Readout":"coherent readout","Lookback":"336","Number of phase-mask layers":"16"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDformer

MSE (96 steps): 0.246. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8f8f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa71bd1e209131cea52dd5.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/VEWOXIC/FITS>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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