# Long-term Forecasting on Weather 10% few-shot

Source: [Long-term Forecasting on Weather 10% few-shot](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-weather-10-percent-few-shot>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-04-07T10:28:34.684Z

Evaluation of models performing Long-term Forecasting on the Weather dataset using a 10% few-shot setup, measured using MSE and MAE.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Long-term Forecasting |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | Weather 10% few-shot |
| Metric | MSE |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 32 of 32 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [MSE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-weather-10-percent-few-shot.md?metric=MSE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MAE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-weather-10-percent-few-shot.md?metric=MAE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | MSE | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| FEDPM | 0.173 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-PatchTST | 0.182 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| TOTEM | 0.188 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| UniTime | 0.191 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FFTS | 0.196 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-iTransformer | 0.199 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Time-FFM | 0.207 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Cen-PatchTST | 0.215 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FEDPM | 0.218 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| TOTEM | 0.223 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-PatchTST | 0.235 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| UniTime | 0.24 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FFTS | 0.243 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Time-FFM | 0.259 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Cen-PatchTST | 0.265 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| TOTEM | 0.27 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FEDPM | 0.272 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-iTransformer | 0.281 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| UniTime | 0.293 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FFTS | 0.295 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-PatchTST | 0.298 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Time-FFM | 0.306 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Cen-PatchTST | 0.318 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FEDPM | 0.343 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| TOTEM | 0.344 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| UniTime | 0.365 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FFTS | 0.367 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-iTransformer | 0.371 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Time-FFM | 0.381 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-PatchTST | 0.383 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Cen-PatchTST | 0.388 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-iTransformer | 0.564 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |

### FEDPM

MSE: 0.173. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fc4.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-PatchTST

MSE: 0.182. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fc8.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TOTEM

MSE: 0.188. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fc9.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa766a1e209131cea6ccfb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### UniTime

MSE: 0.191. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fca.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72431e209131cea55612.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liuxu77/UniTime>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FFTS

MSE: 0.196. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fc6.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa76241e209131cea6b757.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-iTransformer

MSE: 0.199. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fc7.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Time-FFM

MSE: 0.207. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fc5.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa751e1e209131cea65e3f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Cen-PatchTST

MSE: 0.215. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fcb.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDPM

MSE: 0.218. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fcc.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TOTEM

MSE: 0.223. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fd1.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa766a1e209131cea6ccfb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-PatchTST

MSE: 0.235. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fd0.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### UniTime

MSE: 0.24. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fd2.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72431e209131cea55612.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liuxu77/UniTime>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FFTS

MSE: 0.243. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fce.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa76241e209131cea6b757.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Time-FFM

MSE: 0.259. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fcd.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa751e1e209131cea65e3f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Cen-PatchTST

MSE: 0.265. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fd3.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TOTEM

MSE: 0.27. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fd9.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa766a1e209131cea6ccfb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDPM

MSE: 0.272. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fd4.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-iTransformer

MSE: 0.281. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fcf.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### UniTime

MSE: 0.293. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fda.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72431e209131cea55612.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liuxu77/UniTime>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FFTS

MSE: 0.295. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fd6.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa76241e209131cea6b757.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-PatchTST

MSE: 0.298. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fd8.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Time-FFM

MSE: 0.306. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fd5.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa751e1e209131cea65e3f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Cen-PatchTST

MSE: 0.318. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fdb.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDPM

MSE: 0.343. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fdc.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TOTEM

MSE: 0.344. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fe1.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa766a1e209131cea6ccfb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### UniTime

MSE: 0.365. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fe2.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72431e209131cea55612.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liuxu77/UniTime>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FFTS

MSE: 0.367. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fde.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa76241e209131cea6b757.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-iTransformer

MSE: 0.371. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fd7.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Time-FFM

MSE: 0.381. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fdd.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa751e1e209131cea65e3f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-PatchTST

MSE: 0.383. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fe0.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Cen-PatchTST

MSE: 0.388. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fe3.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-iTransformer

MSE: 0.564. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fdf.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.