# Long-term Forecasting on Exchange 5% few-shot

Source: [Long-term Forecasting on Exchange 5% few-shot](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-exchange-5-percent-few-shot>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-04-07T10:28:34.581Z

Evaluation of models performing Long-term Forecasting on the 5% few-shot subset of the Exchange dataset, typically assessed using MSE and MAE.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Long-term Forecasting |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | Exchange 5% few-shot |
| Metric | MSE |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 16 of 16 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [MSE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-exchange-5-percent-few-shot.md?metric=MSE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MAE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-exchange-5-percent-few-shot.md?metric=MAE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | MSE | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| FEDPM | 0.1 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Time-FFM | 0.118 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-PatchTST | 0.121 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Cen-PatchTST | 0.123 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-iTransformer | 0.126 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FFTS | 0.14 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-iTransformer | 0.205 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FEDPM | 0.21 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Time-FFM | 0.215 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Cen-PatchTST | 0.22 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FFTS | 0.235 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-PatchTST | 0.24 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| UniTime | 0.385 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| UniTime | 0.498 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| TOTEM | 1.55 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| TOTEM | 1.688 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |

### FEDPM

MSE: 0.1. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f54.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Time-FFM

MSE: 0.118. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f55.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa751e1e209131cea65e3f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-PatchTST

MSE: 0.121. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f58.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Cen-PatchTST

MSE: 0.123. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f5b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-iTransformer

MSE: 0.126. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f57.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FFTS

MSE: 0.14. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f56.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa76241e209131cea6b757.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-iTransformer

MSE: 0.205. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f5f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDPM

MSE: 0.21. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f5c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Time-FFM

MSE: 0.215. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f5d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa751e1e209131cea65e3f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Cen-PatchTST

MSE: 0.22. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f63.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FFTS

MSE: 0.235. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f5e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa76241e209131cea6b757.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-PatchTST

MSE: 0.24. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f60.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### UniTime

MSE: 0.385. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f5a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72431e209131cea55612.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liuxu77/UniTime>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### UniTime

MSE: 0.498. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f62.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72431e209131cea55612.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liuxu77/UniTime>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TOTEM

MSE: 1.55. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f59.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa766a1e209131cea6ccfb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TOTEM

MSE: 1.688. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f61.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa766a1e209131cea6ccfb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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