# Long-term forecasting on ETTm2 v1 (test)

Source: [Long-term forecasting on ETTm2 v1 (test)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-ettm2-v1-test>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-04-28T07:42:30.510Z

Evaluation of models performing long-term forecasting on the test split of the ETTm2 v1 dataset, typically measured using MSE and MAE.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Long-term forecasting |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | ETTm2 v1 (test) |
| Metric | MSE |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 26 of 26 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [MSE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-ettm2-v1-test.md?metric=MSE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MAE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-ettm2-v1-test.md?metric=MAE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | MSE | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| AdaMamba | 0.173 | Not recorded | 69f03ee655a3c32af89f9eb5 |
| AdaMamba | 0.237 | Not recorded | 69f03ee655a3c32af89f9eb5 |
| TS-Memory | 0.266 | Not recorded | 698eaff5c97a0b3e3b5e6632 |
| TS-Memory | 0.267 | Not recorded | 698eaff5c97a0b3e3b5e6632 |
| TS-Memory | 0.27 | Not recorded | 698eaff5c97a0b3e3b5e6632 |
| Sundial | 0.276 | Not recorded | 698eaff5c97a0b3e3b5e6632 |
| Fredformer | 0.279 | Not recorded | 68fa74071e209131cea5f56d |
| TS-Memory | 0.279 | Not recorded | 698eaff5c97a0b3e3b5e6632 |
| Attraos | 0.28 | Not recorded | 68fa48611e209131ce92f333 |
| PatchTST | 0.28 | Not recorded | 69f03ee655a3c32af89f9eb5 |
| Koopa | 0.281 | Not recorded | 68fa48611e209131ce92f333 |
| PatchTST | 0.281 | Not recorded | 68fa74071e209131cea5f56d |
| TimeMachine | 0.281 | Not recorded | 69f03ee655a3c32af89f9eb5 |
| PatchTST | 0.283 | Not recorded | 68fa48611e209131ce92f333 |
| RWKV-TS | 0.285 | Not recorded | 68fa48611e209131ce92f333 |
| iTransformer | 0.288 | Not recorded | 68fa74071e209131cea5f56d |
| S-Mamba | 0.289 | Not recorded | 68fa48611e209131ce92f333 |
| InvTrm | 0.291 | Not recorded | 68fa48611e209131ce92f333 |
| ChronosBolt | 0.291 | Not recorded | 698eaff5c97a0b3e3b5e6632 |
| GPT-TS | 0.294 | Not recorded | 68fa48611e209131ce92f333 |
| Chronos2 | 0.295 | Not recorded | 698eaff5c97a0b3e3b5e6632 |
| AdaMamba | 0.296 | Not recorded | 69f03ee655a3c32af89f9eb5 |
| Mamba4TS | 0.299 | Not recorded | 68fa48611e209131ce92f333 |
| TimesFM | 0.332 | Not recorded | 698eaff5c97a0b3e3b5e6632 |
| DLinear | 0.345 | Not recorded | 68fa48611e209131ce92f333 |
| AdaMamba | 0.393 | Not recorded | 69f03ee655a3c32af89f9eb5 |

### AdaMamba

MSE: 0.173. Result ID: 69f064de47f34ce924d5fb55.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69f03ee655a3c32af89f9eb5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69f03ee655a3c32af89f9eb5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Input Length (T)":"96","Prediction Length (H)":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### AdaMamba

MSE: 0.237. Result ID: 69f064de47f34ce924d5fb56.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69f03ee655a3c32af89f9eb5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69f03ee655a3c32af89f9eb5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Input Length (T)":"96","Prediction Length (H)":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TS-Memory

MSE: 0.266. Result ID: 6998bf4c5698665ec4226803.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/698eaff5c97a0b3e3b5e6632.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/698eaff5c97a0b3e3b5e6632.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"backbone":"Sundial"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TS-Memory

MSE: 0.267. Result ID: 6998bf4c5698665ec42267ff.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/698eaff5c97a0b3e3b5e6632.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/698eaff5c97a0b3e3b5e6632.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"backbone":"ChronosBolt"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TS-Memory

MSE: 0.27. Result ID: 6998bf4c5698665ec4226801.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/698eaff5c97a0b3e3b5e6632.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/698eaff5c97a0b3e3b5e6632.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"backbone":"Chronos2"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Sundial

MSE: 0.276. Result ID: 6998bf4c5698665ec4226802.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/698eaff5c97a0b3e3b5e6632.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79071e209131cea7bc74.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"setting":"Origin"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Fredformer

MSE: 0.279. Result ID: 69932b8a3a6c3148491433e2.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa74071e209131cea5f56d.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa74071e209131cea5f56d.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/chenzRG/Fredformer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Length":"Avg","Input Sequence Length":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TS-Memory

MSE: 0.279. Result ID: 6998bf4c5698665ec4226805.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/698eaff5c97a0b3e3b5e6632.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/698eaff5c97a0b3e3b5e6632.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"backbone":"TimesFM"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Attraos

MSE: 0.28. Result ID: 698b9de67a967eddb770126d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa48611e209131ce92f333.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa48611e209131ce92f333.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Input length":"96","Prediction horizons":"{96, 192, 336, 720}"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### PatchTST

MSE: 0.28. Result ID: 69f064de47f34ce924d5fb5a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69f03ee655a3c32af89f9eb5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6eb21e209131cea4181f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Input Length (T)":"96","Prediction Length (H)":"Average"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Koopa

MSE: 0.281. Result ID: 698b9de67a967eddb7701272.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa48611e209131ce92f333.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70e51e209131cea4dbd8.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/thuml/Koopa>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Input length":"96","Prediction horizons":"{96, 192, 336, 720}"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### PatchTST

MSE: 0.281. Result ID: 69932b8a3a6c3148491433e4.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa74071e209131cea5f56d.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6eb21e209131cea4181f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Length":"Avg","Input Sequence Length":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TimeMachine

MSE: 0.281. Result ID: 69f064de47f34ce924d5fb59.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69f03ee655a3c32af89f9eb5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa74921e209131cea62999.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/Atik-Ahamed/TimeMachine>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Input Length (T)":"96","Prediction Length (H)":"Average"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### PatchTST

MSE: 0.283. Result ID: 698b9de67a967eddb7701274.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa48611e209131ce92f333.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6eb21e209131cea4181f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Input length":"96","Prediction horizons":"{96, 192, 336, 720}"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### RWKV-TS

MSE: 0.285. Result ID: 698b9de67a967eddb7701270.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa48611e209131ce92f333.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa71df1e209131cea537bd.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Input length":"96","Prediction horizons":"{96, 192, 336, 720}"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### iTransformer

MSE: 0.288. Result ID: 69932b8a3a6c3148491433e3.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa74071e209131cea5f56d.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72851e209131cea56f9c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Length":"Avg","Input Sequence Length":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### S-Mamba

MSE: 0.289. Result ID: 698b9de67a967eddb770126f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa48611e209131ce92f333.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa73101e209131cea5a3b2.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/wzhwzhwzh0921/S-D-Mamba>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Input length":"96","Prediction horizons":"{96, 192, 336, 720}"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### InvTrm

MSE: 0.291. Result ID: 698b9de67a967eddb7701273.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa48611e209131ce92f333.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72851e209131cea56f9c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Input length":"96","Prediction horizons":"{96, 192, 336, 720}"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ChronosBolt

MSE: 0.291. Result ID: 6998bf4c5698665ec42267fe.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/698eaff5c97a0b3e3b5e6632.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa758f1e209131cea68a0b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"setting":"Origin"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GPT-TS

MSE: 0.294. Result ID: 698b9de67a967eddb7701271.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa48611e209131ce92f333.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70ee1e209131cea4e190.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/DAMO-DI-ML/One_Fits_All>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Input length":"96","Prediction horizons":"{96, 192, 336, 720}"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Chronos2

MSE: 0.295. Result ID: 6998bf4c5698665ec4226800.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/698eaff5c97a0b3e3b5e6632.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa7c481e209131cea8d633.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"setting":"Origin"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### AdaMamba

MSE: 0.296. Result ID: 69f064de47f34ce924d5fb57.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69f03ee655a3c32af89f9eb5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69f03ee655a3c32af89f9eb5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Input Length (T)":"96","Prediction Length (H)":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Mamba4TS

MSE: 0.299. Result ID: 698b9de67a967eddb770126e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa48611e209131ce92f333.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Input length":"96","Prediction horizons":"{96, 192, 336, 720}","Time Embedding":true}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TimesFM

MSE: 0.332. Result ID: 6998bf4c5698665ec4226804.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/698eaff5c97a0b3e3b5e6632.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72eb1e209131cea59376.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"setting":"Origin"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DLinear

MSE: 0.345. Result ID: 698b9de67a967eddb7701275.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa48611e209131ce92f333.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d3e1e209131cea38b79.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/cure-lab/LTSF-Linear>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Input length":"96","Prediction horizons":"{96, 192, 336, 720}"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### AdaMamba

MSE: 0.393. Result ID: 69f064de47f34ce924d5fb58.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69f03ee655a3c32af89f9eb5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69f03ee655a3c32af89f9eb5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Input Length (T)":"96","Prediction Length (H)":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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