# Long-term Forecasting on ETTm2 5% few-shot

Source: [Long-term Forecasting on ETTm2 5% few-shot](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-ettm2-5-percent-few-shot>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-04-07T10:28:34.461Z

Evaluation of models performing Long-term Forecasting on the 5% few-shot subset of the ETTm2 dataset, typically assessed using MSE and MAE.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Long-term Forecasting |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | ETTm2 5% few-shot |
| Metric | MSE |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 32 of 32 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [MSE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-ettm2-5-percent-few-shot.md?metric=MSE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MAE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-ettm2-5-percent-few-shot.md?metric=MAE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | MSE | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| FFTS | 0.128 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FFTS | 0.155 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Time-FFM | 0.192 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FFTS | 0.193 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| UniTime | 0.198 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Cen-PatchTST | 0.2 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-PatchTST | 0.201 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FEDPM | 0.21 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-iTransformer | 0.244 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Time-FFM | 0.254 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FFTS | 0.254 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Cen-PatchTST | 0.26 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-PatchTST | 0.261 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| UniTime | 0.266 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FEDPM | 0.271 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Time-FFM | 0.312 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Cen-PatchTST | 0.318 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FEDPM | 0.328 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-iTransformer | 0.336 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| UniTime | 0.337 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-PatchTST | 0.341 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| TOTEM | 0.382 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Time-FFM | 0.415 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Cen-PatchTST | 0.419 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FEDPM | 0.431 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| UniTime | 0.453 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-iTransformer | 0.457 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-PatchTST | 0.512 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| TOTEM | 0.559 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| TOTEM | 0.719 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-iTransformer | 0.822 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| TOTEM | 0.872 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |

### FFTS

MSE: 0.128. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4ef6.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa76241e209131cea6b757.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FFTS

MSE: 0.155. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4efe.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa76241e209131cea6b757.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Time-FFM

MSE: 0.192. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4ef5.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa751e1e209131cea65e3f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FFTS

MSE: 0.193. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f06.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa76241e209131cea6b757.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### UniTime

MSE: 0.198. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4efa.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72431e209131cea55612.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liuxu77/UniTime>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Cen-PatchTST

MSE: 0.2. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4efb.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-PatchTST

MSE: 0.201. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4ef8.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDPM

MSE: 0.21. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4ef4.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-iTransformer

MSE: 0.244. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4ef7.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Time-FFM

MSE: 0.254. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4efd.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa751e1e209131cea65e3f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FFTS

MSE: 0.254. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f0e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa76241e209131cea6b757.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Cen-PatchTST

MSE: 0.26. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f03.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-PatchTST

MSE: 0.261. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f00.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### UniTime

MSE: 0.266. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f02.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72431e209131cea55612.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liuxu77/UniTime>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDPM

MSE: 0.271. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4efc.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Time-FFM

MSE: 0.312. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f05.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa751e1e209131cea65e3f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Cen-PatchTST

MSE: 0.318. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f0b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDPM

MSE: 0.328. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f04.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-iTransformer

MSE: 0.336. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4eff.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### UniTime

MSE: 0.337. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f0a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72431e209131cea55612.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liuxu77/UniTime>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-PatchTST

MSE: 0.341. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f08.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TOTEM

MSE: 0.382. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4ef9.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa766a1e209131cea6ccfb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Time-FFM

MSE: 0.415. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f0d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa751e1e209131cea65e3f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Cen-PatchTST

MSE: 0.419. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f13.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDPM

MSE: 0.431. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f0c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### UniTime

MSE: 0.453. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f12.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72431e209131cea55612.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liuxu77/UniTime>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-iTransformer

MSE: 0.457. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f07.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-PatchTST

MSE: 0.512. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f10.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TOTEM

MSE: 0.559. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f01.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa766a1e209131cea6ccfb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TOTEM

MSE: 0.719. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f09.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa766a1e209131cea6ccfb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-iTransformer

MSE: 0.822. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f0f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TOTEM

MSE: 0.872. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f11.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa766a1e209131cea6ccfb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.