# Long-term Forecasting on ETTm2 10% few-shot

Source: [Long-term Forecasting on ETTm2 10% few-shot](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-ettm2-10-percent-few-shot>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-04-07T10:28:34.614Z

Evaluation of models performing Long-term Forecasting on the 10% few-shot subset of the ETTm2 dataset, typically assessed using MSE and MAE.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Long-term Forecasting |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | ETTm2 10% few-shot |
| Metric | MSE |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 32 of 32 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [MSE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-ettm2-10-percent-few-shot.md?metric=MSE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MAE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-ettm2-10-percent-few-shot.md?metric=MAE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | MSE | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| FFTS | 0.129 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FFTS | 0.154 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FFTS | 0.188 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| UniTime | 0.192 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-PatchTST | 0.194 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Time-FFM | 0.195 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FEDPM | 0.211 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-iTransformer | 0.218 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FFTS | 0.246 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Cen-PatchTST | 0.255 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Time-FFM | 0.256 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| UniTime | 0.256 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-PatchTST | 0.257 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| TOTEM | 0.26 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FEDPM | 0.267 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-iTransformer | 0.293 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Cen-PatchTST | 0.312 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Time-FFM | 0.314 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| UniTime | 0.32 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FEDPM | 0.325 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-PatchTST | 0.327 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| TOTEM | 0.347 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Cen-PatchTST | 0.359 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-iTransformer | 0.393 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| TOTEM | 0.399 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Time-FFM | 0.412 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FEDPM | 0.424 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| UniTime | 0.429 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-PatchTST | 0.437 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Cen-PatchTST | 0.465 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| TOTEM | 0.514 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-iTransformer | 0.587 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |

### FFTS

MSE: 0.129. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f86.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa76241e209131cea6b757.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FFTS

MSE: 0.154. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f8e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa76241e209131cea6b757.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FFTS

MSE: 0.188. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f96.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa76241e209131cea6b757.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### UniTime

MSE: 0.192. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f8a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72431e209131cea55612.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liuxu77/UniTime>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-PatchTST

MSE: 0.194. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f88.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Time-FFM

MSE: 0.195. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f85.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa751e1e209131cea65e3f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDPM

MSE: 0.211. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f84.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-iTransformer

MSE: 0.218. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f87.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FFTS

MSE: 0.246. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f9e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa76241e209131cea6b757.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Cen-PatchTST

MSE: 0.255. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f8b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Time-FFM

MSE: 0.256. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f8d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa751e1e209131cea65e3f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### UniTime

MSE: 0.256. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f92.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72431e209131cea55612.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liuxu77/UniTime>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-PatchTST

MSE: 0.257. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f90.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TOTEM

MSE: 0.26. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f89.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa766a1e209131cea6ccfb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDPM

MSE: 0.267. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f8c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-iTransformer

MSE: 0.293. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f8f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Cen-PatchTST

MSE: 0.312. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f93.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Time-FFM

MSE: 0.314. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f95.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa751e1e209131cea65e3f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### UniTime

MSE: 0.32. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f9a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72431e209131cea55612.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liuxu77/UniTime>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDPM

MSE: 0.325. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f94.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-PatchTST

MSE: 0.327. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f98.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TOTEM

MSE: 0.347. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f91.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa766a1e209131cea6ccfb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Cen-PatchTST

MSE: 0.359. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f9b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-iTransformer

MSE: 0.393. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f97.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TOTEM

MSE: 0.399. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f99.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa766a1e209131cea6ccfb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Time-FFM

MSE: 0.412. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f9d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa751e1e209131cea65e3f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDPM

MSE: 0.424. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f9c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### UniTime

MSE: 0.429. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fa2.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72431e209131cea55612.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liuxu77/UniTime>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-PatchTST

MSE: 0.437. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fa0.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Cen-PatchTST

MSE: 0.465. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fa3.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TOTEM

MSE: 0.514. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fa1.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa766a1e209131cea6ccfb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-iTransformer

MSE: 0.587. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f9f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.