# Long-term forecasting on ETTm1 (MSE) Source: [Long-term forecasting on ETTm1 (MSE)]() Collection index: [llms.txt]() Data updated: 2026-06-16T11:13:23.418Z Evaluation of models on long-term time series forecasting using the ETTm1 dataset, focusing specifically on the Mean Squared Error (MSE) metric. A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage. | Scope | Recorded value | | --- | --- | | Task | Long-term forecasting | | Dataset (including any stated split) | ETTm1 | | Metric | MSE | | Unit | SCALAR | | Direction | Lower is better | | Results loaded | 28 of 28 | | Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark | Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol. ## Metrics - [MSE](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. ## Recorded results | Method | MSE | Result date | Report paper | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | PatchTST | 0.292 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | DLinear | 0.301 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | FITS | 0.303 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | PatchTST | 0.33 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | DLinear | 0.335 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | FITS | 0.337 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | TimesNet | 0.338 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | HAMON-DiffInt | 0.358 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | FEDformer | 0.362 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | PatchTST | 0.365 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | FITS | 0.366 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | DLinear | 0.371 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | HAMON-Coh | 0.372 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | TimesNet | 0.374 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | FEDformer | 0.393 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | TimesNet | 0.41 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | HAMON-DiffInt | 0.413 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | FITS | 0.415 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | PatchTST | 0.419 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | HAMON-Coh | 0.419 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | DLinear | 0.426 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | FEDformer | 0.442 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | HAMON-DiffInt | 0.468 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | HAMON-Coh | 0.47 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | TimesNet | 0.478 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | FEDformer | 0.483 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | HAMON-DiffInt | 0.531 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | HAMON-Coh | 0.553 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | ### PatchTST MSE: 0.292. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8fda. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"96","Lookback":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### DLinear MSE: 0.301. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8fde. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"96","Lookback":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FITS MSE: 0.303. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8fea. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"96","Lookback":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### PatchTST MSE: 0.33. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8fdb. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"192","Lookback":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### DLinear MSE: 0.335. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8fdf. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"192","Lookback":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FITS MSE: 0.337. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8feb. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"192","Lookback":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TimesNet MSE: 0.338. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8fe6. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"96","Lookback":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### HAMON-DiffInt MSE: 0.358. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8ff2. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"96","Lookback":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FEDformer MSE: 0.362. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8fe2. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"96","Lookback":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### PatchTST MSE: 0.365. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8fdc. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"336","Lookback":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FITS MSE: 0.366. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8fec. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"336","Lookback":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### DLinear MSE: 0.371. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8fe0. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"336","Lookback":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### HAMON-Coh MSE: 0.372. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8fee. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"96","Lookback":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TimesNet MSE: 0.374. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8fe7. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"192","Lookback":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FEDformer MSE: 0.393. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8fe3. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"192","Lookback":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TimesNet MSE: 0.41. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8fe8. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"336","Lookback":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### HAMON-DiffInt MSE: 0.413. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8ff3. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"192","Lookback":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FITS MSE: 0.415. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8fed. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"720","Lookback":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### PatchTST MSE: 0.419. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8fdd. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"720","Lookback":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### HAMON-Coh MSE: 0.419. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8fef. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"192","Lookback":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### DLinear MSE: 0.426. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8fe1. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"720","Lookback":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FEDformer MSE: 0.442. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8fe4. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"336","Lookback":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### HAMON-DiffInt MSE: 0.468. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8ff4. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"336","Lookback":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### HAMON-Coh MSE: 0.47. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8ff0. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"336","Lookback":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TimesNet MSE: 0.478. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8fe9. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"720","Lookback":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FEDformer MSE: 0.483. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8fe5. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"720","Lookback":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### HAMON-DiffInt MSE: 0.531. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8ff5. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"720","Lookback":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### HAMON-Coh MSE: 0.553. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8ff1. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"720","Lookback":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.