# Long-term Forecasting on ETTm1 5% few-shot

Source: [Long-term Forecasting on ETTm1 5% few-shot](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-ettm1-5-percent-few-shot>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-04-07T10:28:34.421Z

Evaluation of models performing Long-term Forecasting on the 5% few-shot subset of the ETTm1 dataset, assessed using MSE and MAE.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Long-term Forecasting |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | ETTm1 5% few-shot |
| Metric | MSE |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 32 of 32 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [MSE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-ettm1-5-percent-few-shot.md?metric=MSE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MAE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-ettm1-5-percent-few-shot.md?metric=MAE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | MSE | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| FEDPM | 0.472 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FEDPM | 0.499 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Time-FFM | 0.515 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FFTS | 0.538 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Time-FFM | 0.55 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FEDPM | 0.558 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Cen-PatchTST | 0.559 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Time-FFM | 0.563 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FFTS | 0.565 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| UniTime | 0.576 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Cen-PatchTST | 0.587 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Cen-PatchTST | 0.588 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| UniTime | 0.617 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FFTS | 0.619 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FEDPM | 0.624 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Cen-PatchTST | 0.631 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| UniTime | 0.633 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Time-FFM | 0.641 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FFTS | 0.729 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-PatchTST | 0.839 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-PatchTST | 0.866 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-PatchTST | 0.869 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-iTransformer | 0.879 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| TOTEM | 0.892 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| TOTEM | 0.894 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| TOTEM | 0.905 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| TOTEM | 0.928 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-PatchTST | 1.024 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| UniTime | 1.028 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-iTransformer | 1.093 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-iTransformer | 1.112 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-iTransformer | 1.235 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |

### FEDPM

MSE: 0.472. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4ed4.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDPM

MSE: 0.499. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4edc.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Time-FFM

MSE: 0.515. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4ed5.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa751e1e209131cea65e3f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FFTS

MSE: 0.538. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4ed6.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa76241e209131cea6b757.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Time-FFM

MSE: 0.55. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4edd.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa751e1e209131cea65e3f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDPM

MSE: 0.558. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4ee4.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Cen-PatchTST

MSE: 0.559. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4edb.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Time-FFM

MSE: 0.563. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4ee5.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa751e1e209131cea65e3f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FFTS

MSE: 0.565. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4ede.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa76241e209131cea6b757.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### UniTime

MSE: 0.576. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4eda.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72431e209131cea55612.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liuxu77/UniTime>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Cen-PatchTST

MSE: 0.587. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4eeb.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Cen-PatchTST

MSE: 0.588. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4ee3.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### UniTime

MSE: 0.617. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4ee2.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72431e209131cea55612.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liuxu77/UniTime>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FFTS

MSE: 0.619. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4ee6.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa76241e209131cea6b757.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDPM

MSE: 0.624. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4eec.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Cen-PatchTST

MSE: 0.631. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4ef3.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### UniTime

MSE: 0.633. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4eea.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72431e209131cea55612.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liuxu77/UniTime>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Time-FFM

MSE: 0.641. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4eed.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa751e1e209131cea65e3f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FFTS

MSE: 0.729. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4eee.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa76241e209131cea6b757.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-PatchTST

MSE: 0.839. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4ee8.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-PatchTST

MSE: 0.866. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4ed8.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-PatchTST

MSE: 0.869. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4ee0.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-iTransformer

MSE: 0.879. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4ed7.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TOTEM

MSE: 0.892. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4ef1.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa766a1e209131cea6ccfb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TOTEM

MSE: 0.894. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4ee9.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa766a1e209131cea6ccfb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TOTEM

MSE: 0.905. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4ee1.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa766a1e209131cea6ccfb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TOTEM

MSE: 0.928. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4ed9.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa766a1e209131cea6ccfb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-PatchTST

MSE: 1.024. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4ef0.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### UniTime

MSE: 1.028. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4ef2.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72431e209131cea55612.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liuxu77/UniTime>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-iTransformer

MSE: 1.093. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4edf.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-iTransformer

MSE: 1.112. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4ee7.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-iTransformer

MSE: 1.235. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4eef.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.