# Long-term forecasting on Electricity (Horizon-Specific MSE) Source: [Long-term forecasting on Electricity (Horizon-Specific MSE)]() Collection index: [llms.txt]() Data updated: 2026-06-16T11:13:23.335Z Evaluation of Long-term Time Series Forecasting models on the Electricity dataset, reporting Mean Squared Error (MSE) metrics calculated specifically at forecasting horizons of 96, 192, 336, and 720 time steps. A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage. | Scope | Recorded value | | --- | --- | | Task | Long-term forecasting | | Dataset (including any stated split) | Electricity | | Metric | MSE (Horizon 96) | | Unit | SCALAR | | Direction | Lower is better | | Results loaded | 7 of 7 | | Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark | Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol. ## Metrics - [MSE (Horizon 96)](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [MSE (Horizon 192)](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [MSE (Horizon 336)](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [MSE (Horizon 720)](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. ## Recorded results | Method | MSE (Horizon 96) | Result date | Report paper | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | PatchTST | 0.129 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | FITS | 0.134 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | DLinear | 0.14 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | HAMON-DiffInt | 0.145 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | HAMON-Coh | 0.146 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | TimesNet | 0.168 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | | FEDformer | 0.188 | Not recorded | 6a30d923d33dfb23e783d36d | ### PatchTST MSE (Horizon 96): 0.129. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8f94. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FITS MSE (Horizon 96): 0.134. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8f98. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### DLinear MSE (Horizon 96): 0.14. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8f95. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### HAMON-DiffInt MSE (Horizon 96): 0.145. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8f9a. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Encoding":"phase encoding","Readout":"differential intensity readout","Lookback":"336","Number of phase-mask layers":"16"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### HAMON-Coh MSE (Horizon 96): 0.146. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8f99. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Encoding":"amplitude encoding","Readout":"coherent readout","Lookback":"336","Number of phase-mask layers":"16"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TimesNet MSE (Horizon 96): 0.168. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8f97. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FEDformer MSE (Horizon 96): 0.188. Result ID: 6a312fbafbc373592c2e8f96. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction. Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.