# Long-term Forecasting on Electricity 5% few-shot

Source: [Long-term Forecasting on Electricity 5% few-shot](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-electricity-5-percent-few-shot>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-04-07T10:28:34.513Z

Evaluation of models performing Long-term Forecasting on the Electricity dataset under a 5% few-shot learning setup, assessed using MSE and MAE.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Long-term Forecasting |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | Electricity 5% few-shot |
| Metric | MSE |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 32 of 32 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [MSE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-electricity-5-percent-few-shot.md?metric=MSE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MAE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-electricity-5-percent-few-shot.md?metric=MAE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | MSE | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| FL-iTransformer | 0.195 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-iTransformer | 0.201 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-iTransformer | 0.221 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FEDPM | 0.23 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FEDPM | 0.232 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-PatchTST | 0.235 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-PatchTST | 0.241 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-PatchTST | 0.241 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FEDPM | 0.249 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FEDPM | 0.279 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| UniTime | 0.281 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| UniTime | 0.283 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Cen-PatchTST | 0.293 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| UniTime | 0.294 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Cen-PatchTST | 0.295 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Time-FFM | 0.305 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Cen-PatchTST | 0.308 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Time-FFM | 0.312 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-PatchTST | 0.316 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Time-FFM | 0.321 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-iTransformer | 0.323 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| UniTime | 0.335 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Cen-PatchTST | 0.341 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Time-FFM | 0.358 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FFTS | 0.36 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FFTS | 0.374 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FFTS | 0.392 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FFTS | 0.827 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| TOTEM | 1.014 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| TOTEM | 1.025 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| TOTEM | 1.038 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| TOTEM | 1.044 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |

### FL-iTransformer

MSE: 0.195. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f17.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-iTransformer

MSE: 0.201. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f1f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-iTransformer

MSE: 0.221. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f27.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDPM

MSE: 0.23. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f14.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDPM

MSE: 0.232. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f1c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-PatchTST

MSE: 0.235. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f20.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-PatchTST

MSE: 0.241. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f18.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-PatchTST

MSE: 0.241. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f28.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDPM

MSE: 0.249. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f24.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDPM

MSE: 0.279. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f2c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### UniTime

MSE: 0.281. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f1a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72431e209131cea55612.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liuxu77/UniTime>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### UniTime

MSE: 0.283. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f22.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72431e209131cea55612.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liuxu77/UniTime>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Cen-PatchTST

MSE: 0.293. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f23.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### UniTime

MSE: 0.294. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f2a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72431e209131cea55612.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liuxu77/UniTime>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Cen-PatchTST

MSE: 0.295. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f1b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Time-FFM

MSE: 0.305. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f1d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa751e1e209131cea65e3f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Cen-PatchTST

MSE: 0.308. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f2b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Time-FFM

MSE: 0.312. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f15.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa751e1e209131cea65e3f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-PatchTST

MSE: 0.316. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f30.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Time-FFM

MSE: 0.321. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f25.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa751e1e209131cea65e3f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-iTransformer

MSE: 0.323. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f2f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### UniTime

MSE: 0.335. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f32.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72431e209131cea55612.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liuxu77/UniTime>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Cen-PatchTST

MSE: 0.341. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f33.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Time-FFM

MSE: 0.358. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f2d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa751e1e209131cea65e3f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FFTS

MSE: 0.36. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f1e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa76241e209131cea6b757.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FFTS

MSE: 0.374. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f16.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa76241e209131cea6b757.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FFTS

MSE: 0.392. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f26.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa76241e209131cea6b757.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FFTS

MSE: 0.827. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f2e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa76241e209131cea6b757.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TOTEM

MSE: 1.014. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f21.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa766a1e209131cea6ccfb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TOTEM

MSE: 1.025. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f19.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa766a1e209131cea6ccfb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TOTEM

MSE: 1.038. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f29.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa766a1e209131cea6ccfb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TOTEM

MSE: 1.044. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4f31.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa766a1e209131cea6ccfb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.