# Long-term Forecasting on Electricity 10% few-shot

Source: [Long-term Forecasting on Electricity 10% few-shot](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-electricity-10-percent-few-shot>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-04-07T10:28:34.642Z

Evaluation of models performing Long-term Forecasting on the Electricity dataset under a 10% few-shot learning setup, assessed using MSE and MAE.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Long-term Forecasting |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | Electricity 10% few-shot |
| Metric | MSE |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 32 of 32 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [MSE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-electricity-10-percent-few-shot.md?metric=MSE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MAE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-electricity-10-percent-few-shot.md?metric=MAE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | MSE | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| FL-iTransformer | 0.184 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-iTransformer | 0.191 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-iTransformer | 0.215 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-PatchTST | 0.218 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FEDPM | 0.225 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FEDPM | 0.228 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| UniTime | 0.236 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| UniTime | 0.236 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-PatchTST | 0.246 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FEDPM | 0.246 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Time-FFM | 0.247 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Time-FFM | 0.249 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| UniTime | 0.25 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-PatchTST | 0.262 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-iTransformer | 0.265 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Time-FFM | 0.267 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FEDPM | 0.279 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FL-PatchTST | 0.282 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| UniTime | 0.295 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Time-FFM | 0.3 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Cen-PatchTST | 0.343 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Cen-PatchTST | 0.344 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FFTS | 0.359 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Cen-PatchTST | 0.361 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FFTS | 0.374 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FFTS | 0.375 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| Cen-PatchTST | 0.399 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| FFTS | 0.417 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| TOTEM | 0.946 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| TOTEM | 0.946 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| TOTEM | 0.948 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |
| TOTEM | 0.956 | Not recorded | 69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5 |

### FL-iTransformer

MSE: 0.184. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fa7.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-iTransformer

MSE: 0.191. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4faf.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-iTransformer

MSE: 0.215. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fb7.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-PatchTST

MSE: 0.218. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fb0.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDPM

MSE: 0.225. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fa4.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDPM

MSE: 0.228. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fac.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### UniTime

MSE: 0.236. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4faa.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72431e209131cea55612.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liuxu77/UniTime>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### UniTime

MSE: 0.236. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fb2.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72431e209131cea55612.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liuxu77/UniTime>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-PatchTST

MSE: 0.246. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fa8.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDPM

MSE: 0.246. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fb4.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Time-FFM

MSE: 0.247. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fad.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa751e1e209131cea65e3f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Time-FFM

MSE: 0.249. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fa5.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa751e1e209131cea65e3f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### UniTime

MSE: 0.25. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fba.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72431e209131cea55612.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liuxu77/UniTime>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-PatchTST

MSE: 0.262. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fb8.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-iTransformer

MSE: 0.265. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fbf.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Time-FFM

MSE: 0.267. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fb5.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa751e1e209131cea65e3f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDPM

MSE: 0.279. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fbc.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FL-PatchTST

MSE: 0.282. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fc0.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### UniTime

MSE: 0.295. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fc2.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72431e209131cea55612.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liuxu77/UniTime>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Time-FFM

MSE: 0.3. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fbd.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa751e1e209131cea65e3f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Cen-PatchTST

MSE: 0.343. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fb3.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Cen-PatchTST

MSE: 0.344. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fab.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FFTS

MSE: 0.359. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fae.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa76241e209131cea6b757.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Cen-PatchTST

MSE: 0.361. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fbb.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FFTS

MSE: 0.374. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fa6.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa76241e209131cea6b757.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FFTS

MSE: 0.375. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fb6.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa76241e209131cea6b757.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Cen-PatchTST

MSE: 0.399. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fc3.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FFTS

MSE: 0.417. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fbe.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa76241e209131cea6b757.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"FL-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TOTEM

MSE: 0.946. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fa9.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa766a1e209131cea6ccfb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TOTEM

MSE: 0.946. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fb1.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa766a1e209131cea6ccfb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"192"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TOTEM

MSE: 0.948. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fb9.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa766a1e209131cea6ccfb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"336"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TOTEM

MSE: 0.956. Result ID: 69d4dc5047f34ce924bd4fc1.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69d48fb27d0172140ec744a5.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa766a1e209131cea6ccfb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"Cen-FM","Horizon":"720"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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