# Long-term forecasting on AZ (Aotizhongxin) (test)

Source: [Long-term forecasting on AZ (Aotizhongxin) (test)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-az-aotizhongxin-test>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-04-01T09:04:39.958Z

Evaluation of models performing Long-term forecasting on the test split of the AZ (Aotizhongxin) dataset, measured using MSE and MAE.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Long-term forecasting |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | AZ (Aotizhongxin) (test) |
| Metric | MSE |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 35 of 35 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [MSE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-az-aotizhongxin-test.md?metric=MSE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MAE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/long-term-forecasting-on-az-aotizhongxin-test.md?metric=MAE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | MSE | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Transformer | 0.456 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| Pyraformer | 0.467 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| Informer | 0.47 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| ETSformer | 0.525 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| GPT4AP | 0.53 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| DLinear | 0.532 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| Pyraformer | 0.548 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| FiLM | 0.557 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| Informer | 0.565 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| Pyraformer | 0.565 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| Informer | 0.574 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| Transformer | 0.59 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| Pyraformer | 0.594 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| DLinear | 0.605 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| Transformer | 0.607 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| Transformer | 0.607 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| ETSformer | 0.611 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| GPT4AP | 0.613 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| Informer | 0.615 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| DLinear | 0.618 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| ETSformer | 0.624 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| GPT4AP | 0.632 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| FiLM | 0.634 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| Informer | 0.644 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| DLinear | 0.649 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| Pyraformer | 0.65 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| FiLM | 0.651 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| ETSformer | 0.656 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| GPT4AP | 0.671 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| DLinear | 0.684 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| FiLM | 0.685 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| Transformer | 0.688 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| ETSformer | 0.705 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| GPT4AP | 0.712 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |
| FiLM | 0.726 | Not recorded | 69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6 |

### Transformer

MSE: 0.456. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c28e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6f481e209131cea44bce.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"24"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Pyraformer

MSE: 0.467. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c28d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"24"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Informer

MSE: 0.47. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c28c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa699f1e209131cea23263.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/zhouhaoyi/Informer2020>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"24"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ETSformer

MSE: 0.525. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c28a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6cda1e209131cea3642d.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"24"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GPT4AP

MSE: 0.53. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c288.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"24"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DLinear

MSE: 0.532. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c289.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d3e1e209131cea38b79.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/cure-lab/LTSF-Linear>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"24"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Pyraformer

MSE: 0.548. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c294.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"36"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FiLM

MSE: 0.557. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c28b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/tianzhou2011/FiLM/>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"24"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Informer

MSE: 0.565. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c293.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa699f1e209131cea23263.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/zhouhaoyi/Informer2020>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"36"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Pyraformer

MSE: 0.565. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c2a9.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"Avg"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Informer

MSE: 0.574. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c2a8.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa699f1e209131cea23263.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/zhouhaoyi/Informer2020>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"Avg"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Transformer

MSE: 0.59. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c2aa.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6f481e209131cea44bce.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"Avg"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Pyraformer

MSE: 0.594. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c29b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"48"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DLinear

MSE: 0.605. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c290.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d3e1e209131cea38b79.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/cure-lab/LTSF-Linear>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"36"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Transformer

MSE: 0.607. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c295.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6f481e209131cea44bce.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"36"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Transformer

MSE: 0.607. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c29c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6f481e209131cea44bce.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"48"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ETSformer

MSE: 0.611. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c291.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6cda1e209131cea3642d.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"36"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GPT4AP

MSE: 0.613. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c28f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"36"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Informer

MSE: 0.615. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c29a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa699f1e209131cea23263.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/zhouhaoyi/Informer2020>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"48"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DLinear

MSE: 0.618. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c2a5.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d3e1e209131cea38b79.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/cure-lab/LTSF-Linear>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"Avg"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ETSformer

MSE: 0.624. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c2a6.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6cda1e209131cea3642d.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"Avg"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GPT4AP

MSE: 0.632. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c2a4.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"Avg"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FiLM

MSE: 0.634. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c292.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/tianzhou2011/FiLM/>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"36"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Informer

MSE: 0.644. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c2a1.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa699f1e209131cea23263.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/zhouhaoyi/Informer2020>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"60"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DLinear

MSE: 0.649. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c297.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d3e1e209131cea38b79.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/cure-lab/LTSF-Linear>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"48"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Pyraformer

MSE: 0.65. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c2a2.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"60"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FiLM

MSE: 0.651. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c2a7.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/tianzhou2011/FiLM/>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"Avg"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ETSformer

MSE: 0.656. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c298.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6cda1e209131cea3642d.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"48"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GPT4AP

MSE: 0.671. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c296.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"48"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DLinear

MSE: 0.684. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c29e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d3e1e209131cea38b79.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/cure-lab/LTSF-Linear>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"60"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FiLM

MSE: 0.685. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c299.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/tianzhou2011/FiLM/>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"48"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Transformer

MSE: 0.688. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c2a3.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6f481e209131cea44bce.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"60"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ETSformer

MSE: 0.705. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c29f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6cda1e209131cea3642d.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"60"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GPT4AP

MSE: 0.712. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c29d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"60"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FiLM

MSE: 0.726. Result ID: 69ccdf9347f34ce924b6c2a0.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca6ab0636e5bf4afcbce6.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/tianzhou2011/FiLM/>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Horizon":"60"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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