# LLM Judgement Confidence Estimation on HH-RLHF (test)

Source: [LLM Judgement Confidence Estimation on HH-RLHF (test)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/llm-judgement-confidence-estimation-on-hh-rlhf-test>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-05-18T07:07:51.813Z

Evaluation of LLM confidence estimation capabilities using the test split of the HH-RLHF dataset, measured by Rank Correlation (RK) and Area Under the ROC Curve (AUROC).

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | LLM Judgement Confidence Estimation |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | HH-RLHF (test) |
| Metric | RK |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 16 of 16 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [RK](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/llm-judgement-confidence-estimation-on-hh-rlhf-test.md?metric=RK>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [AUROC](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/llm-judgement-confidence-estimation-on-hh-rlhf-test.md?metric=AUROC>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | RK | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Predictive Probability | 0.4763 | Not recorded | 6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2 |
| Verbalized Confidence | 0.4738 | Not recorded | 6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2 |
| Predictive Probability | 0.4478 | Not recorded | 6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2 |
| Predictive Probability | 0.4409 | Not recorded | 6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2 |
| Simulated Annotators | 0.3986 | Not recorded | 6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2 |
| Learning Confidence (Vanilla) | 0.3841 | Not recorded | 6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2 |
| Random Annotator | 0.3803 | Not recorded | 6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2 |
| Random Annotator | 0.376 | Not recorded | 6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2 |
| Random Annotator | 0.3751 | Not recorded | 6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2 |
| Simulated Annotators | 0.3678 | Not recorded | 6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2 |
| Learning Confidence (Vanilla) | 0.3597 | Not recorded | 6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2 |
| Simulated Annotators | 0.3571 | Not recorded | 6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2 |
| Learning Confidence (Vanilla) | 0.3482 | Not recorded | 6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2 |
| Margin-Adaptive Confidence Ranking | 0.3286 | Not recorded | 6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2 |
| Margin-Adaptive Confidence Ranking | 0.3094 | Not recorded | 6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2 |
| Margin-Adaptive Confidence Ranking | 0.2813 | Not recorded | 6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2 |

### Predictive Probability

RK: 0.4763. Result ID: 6a0abaae47f34ce924f05ded.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Judge Model":"Mistral-7B"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Verbalized Confidence

RK: 0.4738. Result ID: 6a0abaae47f34ce924f05dee.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6c381e209131cea32de6.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Judge Model":"Mistral-7B"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Predictive Probability

RK: 0.4478. Result ID: 6a0abaae47f34ce924f05df3.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Judge Model":"Llama3-70B"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Predictive Probability

RK: 0.4409. Result ID: 6a0abaae47f34ce924f05df8.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Judge Model":"Qwen2.5-72B"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Simulated Annotators

RK: 0.3986. Result ID: 6a0abaae47f34ce924f05df0.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa74421e209131cea60928.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Judge Model":"Mistral-7B"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Learning Confidence (Vanilla)

RK: 0.3841. Result ID: 6a0abaae47f34ce924f05df1.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Judge Model":"Mistral-7B"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Random Annotator

RK: 0.3803. Result ID: 6a0abaae47f34ce924f05def.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa74421e209131cea60928.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Judge Model":"Mistral-7B"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Random Annotator

RK: 0.376. Result ID: 6a0abaae47f34ce924f05df9.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa74421e209131cea60928.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Judge Model":"Qwen2.5-72B"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Random Annotator

RK: 0.3751. Result ID: 6a0abaae47f34ce924f05df4.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa74421e209131cea60928.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Judge Model":"Llama3-70B"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Simulated Annotators

RK: 0.3678. Result ID: 6a0abaae47f34ce924f05dfa.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa74421e209131cea60928.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Judge Model":"Qwen2.5-72B"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Learning Confidence (Vanilla)

RK: 0.3597. Result ID: 6a0abaae47f34ce924f05df6.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Judge Model":"Llama3-70B"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Simulated Annotators

RK: 0.3571. Result ID: 6a0abaae47f34ce924f05df5.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa74421e209131cea60928.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Judge Model":"Llama3-70B"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Learning Confidence (Vanilla)

RK: 0.3482. Result ID: 6a0abaae47f34ce924f05dfb.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Judge Model":"Qwen2.5-72B"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Margin-Adaptive Confidence Ranking

RK: 0.3286. Result ID: 6a0abaae47f34ce924f05df2.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Judge Model":"Mistral-7B"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Margin-Adaptive Confidence Ranking

RK: 0.3094. Result ID: 6a0abaae47f34ce924f05df7.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Judge Model":"Llama3-70B"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Margin-Adaptive Confidence Ranking

RK: 0.2813. Result ID: 6a0abaae47f34ce924f05dfc.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a0a9d11dbc836b87d82b3e2.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Judge Model":"Qwen2.5-72B"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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