# Human move prediction on 12,000 balanced bullet decision points Elo 2300-2500

Source: [Human move prediction on 12,000 balanced bullet decision points Elo 2300-2500](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/human-move-prediction-on-12-000-balanced-bullet-decision-points-elo-2300-2500>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-04-01T08:42:42.057Z

Evaluation of model performance on predicting human moves using the specific subset of the '12,000 balanced bullet decision points' dataset filtered for Elo ratings between 2300 and 2500, typically measured by Top-1 accuracy.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Human move prediction |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | 12,000 balanced bullet decision points Elo 2300-2500 |
| Metric | Top-1 Accuracy |
| Unit | PERCENT |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 3 of 3 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [Top-1 Accuracy](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/human-move-prediction-on-12-000-balanced-bullet-decision-points-elo-2300-2500.md?metric=Top-1%20Accuracy>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

## Recorded results

| Method | Top-1 Accuracy | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| V2.2 final | 53.7 | Not recorded | 69cca69e0636e5bf4afcbc11 |
| Maia-2 blitz | 50.3 | Not recorded | 69cca69e0636e5bf4afcbc11 |
| Maia-2 rapid | 50.2 | Not recorded | 69cca69e0636e5bf4afcbc11 |

### V2.2 final

Top-1 Accuracy: 53.7. Result ID: 69ccda4147f34ce924b69976.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca69e0636e5bf4afcbc11.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca69e0636e5bf4afcbc11.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Input format":"full preceding move sequence"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Maia-2 blitz

Top-1 Accuracy: 50.3. Result ID: 69ccda4147f34ce924b69978.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca69e0636e5bf4afcbc11.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa75751e209131cea68118.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Input format":"FEN string"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Maia-2 rapid

Top-1 Accuracy: 50.2. Result ID: 69ccda4147f34ce924b69977.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69cca69e0636e5bf4afcbc11.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa75751e209131cea68118.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Input format":"FEN string"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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