# Forecasting on USHCN-DAILY (test)

Source: [Forecasting on USHCN-DAILY (test)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/forecasting-on-ushcn-daily-test>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-02-26T05:50:36.831Z

Evaluation of models performing forecasting on the test split of the USHCN-DAILY dataset, typically measured using MSE and NEGLL.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Forecasting |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | USHCN-DAILY (test) |
| Metric | MSE |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 7 of 7 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [MSE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/forecasting-on-ushcn-daily-test.md?metric=MSE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [NegLL](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/forecasting-on-ushcn-daily-test.md?metric=NegLL>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | MSE | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| GRU-ODE-BAYES | 0.43 | Not recorded | 68fa66b11e209131cea11d77 |
| GRU-D | 0.53 | Not recorded | 68fa66b11e209131cea11d77 |
| T-LSTM | 0.59 | Not recorded | 68fa66b11e209131cea11d77 |
| GRU-SIMPLE | 0.75 | Not recorded | 68fa66b11e209131cea11d77 |
| NEURALODE-VAE-MASK | 0.83 | Not recorded | 68fa66b11e209131cea11d77 |
| SEQUENTIAL VAE | 0.83 | Not recorded | 68fa66b11e209131cea11d77 |
| NEURALODE-VAE | 0.96 | Not recorded | 68fa66b11e209131cea11d77 |

### GRU-ODE-BAYES

MSE: 0.43. Result ID: 698d03368b517eb4331e57f3.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa66b11e209131cea11d77.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa66b11e209131cea11d77.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/edebrouwer/gru_ode_bayes>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GRU-D

MSE: 0.53. Result ID: 698d03368b517eb4331e57f1.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa66b11e209131cea11d77.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa62d91e209131ce9fba70.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### T-LSTM

MSE: 0.59. Result ID: 698d03368b517eb4331e57f2.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa66b11e209131cea11d77.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GRU-SIMPLE

MSE: 0.75. Result ID: 698d03368b517eb4331e57f0.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa66b11e209131cea11d77.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa62d91e209131ce9fba70.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### NEURALODE-VAE-MASK

MSE: 0.83. Result ID: 698d03368b517eb4331e57ee.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa66b11e209131cea11d77.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa66cb1e209131cea12502.md>)

[Implementation](<https://www.sota2.com/github.com/rtqichen/torchdiffeq>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### SEQUENTIAL VAE

MSE: 0.83. Result ID: 698d03368b517eb4331e57ef.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa66b11e209131cea11d77.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa622e1e209131ce9f7fbe.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### NEURALODE-VAE

MSE: 0.96. Result ID: 698d03368b517eb4331e57ed.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa66b11e209131cea11d77.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa66cb1e209131cea12502.md>)

[Implementation](<https://www.sota2.com/github.com/rtqichen/torchdiffeq>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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