# Forecasting Accuracy Correlation on Team Dynamics (Forecaster level)

Source: [Forecasting Accuracy Correlation on Team Dynamics (Forecaster level)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/forecasting-accuracy-correlation-on-team-dynamics-forecaster-level>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-07-01T06:38:13.633Z

Evaluation of forecasting models using correlation metrics (r values) to assess accuracy correlation against human ratings and EQM measures on the Team Dynamics (Forecaster level) dataset.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Forecasting Accuracy Correlation |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | Team Dynamics (Forecaster level) |
| Metric | r (Between) |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 2 of 2 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [r (Between)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/forecasting-accuracy-correlation-on-team-dynamics-forecaster-level.md?metric=r%20(Between)>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [r (Out-of-sample EQM)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/forecasting-accuracy-correlation-on-team-dynamics-forecaster-level.md?metric=r%20(Out-of-sample%20EQM)>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [r (TD Human Ratings)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/forecasting-accuracy-correlation-on-team-dynamics-forecaster-level.md?metric=r%20(TD%20Human%20Ratings)>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [EQM Significance Score](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/forecasting-accuracy-correlation-on-team-dynamics-forecaster-level.md?metric=EQM%20Significance%20Score>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [p-value](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/forecasting-accuracy-correlation-on-team-dynamics-forecaster-level.md?metric=p-value>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | r (Between) | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| EQM | 0.46 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 |
| Human ratings | 0.46 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 |

### EQM

r (Between): 0.46. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f6f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"n":"2,221","ACE-trained transfer":"true","Out-of-sample evaluation":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Human ratings

r (Between): 0.46. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f70.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"n":"2,221","Out-of-sample evaluation":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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