# Forecasting Accuracy Correlation on Team Dynamics (Forecast level)

Source: [Forecasting Accuracy Correlation on Team Dynamics (Forecast level)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/forecasting-accuracy-correlation-on-team-dynamics-forecast-level>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-07-01T06:38:13.611Z

Evaluation of model correlation accuracy on the Team Dynamics dataset, focusing on out-of-sample correlation (r) and statistical significance (p-values).

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Forecasting Accuracy Correlation |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | Team Dynamics (Forecast level) |
| Metric | Correlation (r) Between |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 2 of 2 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [Correlation (r) Between](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/forecasting-accuracy-correlation-on-team-dynamics-forecast-level.md?metric=Correlation%20(r)%20Between>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Correlation (r) Out-of-sample EQM](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/forecasting-accuracy-correlation-on-team-dynamics-forecast-level.md?metric=Correlation%20(r)%20Out-of-sample%20EQM>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Correlation (r) TD Human Ratings](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/forecasting-accuracy-correlation-on-team-dynamics-forecast-level.md?metric=Correlation%20(r)%20TD%20Human%20Ratings>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Significance Level (p-value proxy)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/forecasting-accuracy-correlation-on-team-dynamics-forecast-level.md?metric=Significance%20Level%20(p-value%20proxy)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [P-Value](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/forecasting-accuracy-correlation-on-team-dynamics-forecast-level.md?metric=P-Value>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | Correlation (r) Between | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| EQM | 0.26 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 |
| Human ratings | 0.26 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 |

### EQM

Correlation (r) Between: 0.26. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f6d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"n":"42,809","ACE-trained transfer":"true","Out-of-sample evaluation":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Human ratings

Correlation (r) Between: 0.26. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f6e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"n":"42,809","Out-of-sample evaluation":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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