# Forecaster Accuracy Correlation Analysis on ACE Forecaster Level (main analysis sample)

Source: [Forecaster Accuracy Correlation Analysis on ACE Forecaster Level (main analysis sample)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/forecaster-accuracy-correlation-analysis-on-ace-forecaster-level-main-analysis-sample>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-07-01T06:38:13.676Z

Evaluation of forecaster accuracy correlation using correlation metrics (r values) derived from the ACE Forecaster Level dataset sample, focusing on EQM and Between measures.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Forecaster accuracy correlation analysis |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | ACE Forecaster Level (main analysis sample) |
| Metric | Pre-LLM Correlation (r) |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 2 of 2 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [Pre-LLM Correlation (r)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/forecaster-accuracy-correlation-analysis-on-ace-forecaster-level-main-analysis-sample.md?metric=Pre-LLM%20Correlation%20(r)>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [EQM Correlation (r)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/forecaster-accuracy-correlation-analysis-on-ace-forecaster-level-main-analysis-sample.md?metric=EQM%20Correlation%20(r)>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Between Measure Correlation (r)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/forecaster-accuracy-correlation-analysis-on-ace-forecaster-level-main-analysis-sample.md?metric=Between%20Measure%20Correlation%20(r)>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [EQM Correlation p-value](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/forecaster-accuracy-correlation-analysis-on-ace-forecaster-level-main-analysis-sample.md?metric=EQM%20Correlation%20p-value>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | Pre-LLM Correlation (r) | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Explanation Quality Markers | 0.39 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 |
| pre-LLM text-analysis methods | 0.39 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 |

### Explanation Quality Markers

Pre-LLM Correlation (r): 0.39. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f73.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Metric (target accuracy measure)":"ABSnorm","n (sample size)":"1,770"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### pre-LLM text-analysis methods

Pre-LLM Correlation (r): 0.39. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f74.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa67b41e209131cea17f3c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Metric (target accuracy measure)":"ABSnorm","n (sample size)":"1,770"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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