# Forecast-level Accuracy Correlation on Forecasting Indicators Dataset Season 1 to 2 (S1→S2) Source: [Forecast-level Accuracy Correlation on Forecasting Indicators Dataset Season 1 to 2 (S1→S2)]() Collection index: [llms.txt]() Data updated: 2026-07-01T06:38:13.737Z Evaluation of model performance using Pearson correlation (r) to measure the accuracy correlation at the forecast level on the Forecasting Indicators Dataset Season 1 to 2 (S1→S2). A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage. | Scope | Recorded value | | --- | --- | | Task | Forecast-level Accuracy Correlation | | Dataset (including any stated split) | Forecasting Indicators Dataset Season 1 to 2 (S1→S2) | | Metric | Pearson Correlation (r) | | Unit | SCALAR | | Direction | Higher is better | | Results loaded | 14 of 14 | | Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark | Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol. ## Metrics - [Pearson Correlation (r)](): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR. ## Recorded results | Method | Pearson Correlation (r) | Result date | Report paper | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Past accuracy | 0.72 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 | | Update size | 0.59 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 | | EQM forecaster composite | 0.55 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 | | Forecast count | 0.54 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 | | Pre-LLM forecaster composite | 0.35 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 | | Word count | 0.35 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 | | EQM forecast composite | 0.17 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 | | Update size | 0.15 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 | | Past accuracy | 0.14 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 | | Forecast count | 0.14 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 | | EQM forecaster composite | 0.12 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 | | Pre-LLM forecaster composite | 0.08 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 | | Pre-LLM forecast composite | 0.06 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 | | Word count | 0.04 | Not recorded | 6a449f01e0224bd4f4992f93 | ### Past accuracy Pearson Correlation (r): 0.72. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f95. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Calculation Notes":"Forecaster-level from previous season data"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Update size Pearson Correlation (r): 0.59. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f97. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Calculation Notes":"Forecaster-level from current season data"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### EQM forecaster composite Pearson Correlation (r): 0.55. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f98. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Calculation Notes":"Forecaster-level from current season data"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Forecast count Pearson Correlation (r): 0.54. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f96. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Calculation Notes":"Forecaster-level from current season data"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Pre-LLM forecaster composite Pearson Correlation (r): 0.35. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f99. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Calculation Notes":"Forecaster-level from current season data"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Word count Pearson Correlation (r): 0.35. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f9a. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Calculation Notes":"Forecaster-level from current season data"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### EQM forecast composite Pearson Correlation (r): 0.17. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f75. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Calculation Notes":"Forecast-level"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Update size Pearson Correlation (r): 0.15. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f7a. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Calculation Notes":"Forecaster-level from current season data"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Past accuracy Pearson Correlation (r): 0.14. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f78. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Calculation Notes":"Forecaster-level from previous season data"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Forecast count Pearson Correlation (r): 0.14. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f79. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Calculation Notes":"Forecaster-level from current season data"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### EQM forecaster composite Pearson Correlation (r): 0.12. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f7b. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Calculation Notes":"Forecaster-level from current season data"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Pre-LLM forecaster composite Pearson Correlation (r): 0.08. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f7c. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Calculation Notes":"Forecaster-level from current season data"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Pre-LLM forecast composite Pearson Correlation (r): 0.06. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f76. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Calculation Notes":"Forecast-level"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Word count Pearson Correlation (r): 0.04. Result ID: 6a44b5d573d097d845bd8f77. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Calculation Notes":"Forecast-level"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.