# Expected Shortfall (ES) prediction on Canada stock market

Source: [Expected Shortfall (ES) prediction on Canada stock market](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/expected-shortfall-es-prediction-on-canada-stock-market>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-06-04T12:22:59.050Z

Evaluation of models predicting Expected Shortfall (ES) risk measures on the Canada stock market dataset, assessed using the Pass rate metric.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Expected Shortfall (ES) prediction |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | Canada stock market |
| Metric | Pass Rate |
| Unit | PERCENT |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 11 of 11 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [Pass Rate](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/expected-shortfall-es-prediction-on-canada-stock-market.md?metric=Pass%20Rate>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

## Recorded results

| Method | Pass Rate | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| ReSGA | 89.72 | Not recorded | 6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728 |
| SGA | 86.92 | Not recorded | 6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728 |
| Linear | 85.51 | Not recorded | 6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728 |
| EInformer | 85.45 | Not recorded | 6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728 |
| DInformer | 84.38 | Not recorded | 6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728 |
| Informer | 83.44 | Not recorded | 6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728 |
| DLinear | 82.51 | Not recorded | 6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728 |
| GRU | 81.71 | Not recorded | 6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728 |
| LSTM | 77.04 | Not recorded | 6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728 |
| NN | 74.8 | Not recorded | 6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728 |
| LANN | 66.62 | Not recorded | 6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728 |

### ReSGA

Pass Rate: 89.72. Result ID: 6a216e08fbc373592c1e8793.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Spatial-temporal Models","Significance level (alpha)":"0.05","Statistical Test":"AESR"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### SGA

Pass Rate: 86.92. Result ID: 6a216e08fbc373592c1e8792.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Spatial-temporal Models","Significance level (alpha)":"0.05","Statistical Test":"AESR"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Linear

Pass Rate: 85.51. Result ID: 6a216e08fbc373592c1e8789.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Point-wise Models","Significance level (alpha)":"0.05","Statistical Test":"AESR"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### EInformer

Pass Rate: 85.45. Result ID: 6a216e08fbc373592c1e8790.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Temporal Models","Significance level (alpha)":"0.05","Statistical Test":"AESR"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DInformer

Pass Rate: 84.38. Result ID: 6a216e08fbc373592c1e8791.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72eb1e209131cea59376.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Temporal Models","Significance level (alpha)":"0.05","Statistical Test":"AESR"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Informer

Pass Rate: 83.44. Result ID: 6a216e08fbc373592c1e878f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa699f1e209131cea23263.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/zhouhaoyi/Informer2020>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Temporal Models","Significance level (alpha)":"0.05","Statistical Test":"AESR"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DLinear

Pass Rate: 82.51. Result ID: 6a216e08fbc373592c1e878c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d3e1e209131cea38b79.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/cure-lab/LTSF-Linear>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Temporal Models","Significance level (alpha)":"0.05","Statistical Test":"AESR"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GRU

Pass Rate: 81.71. Result ID: 6a216e08fbc373592c1e878e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa619e1e209131ce9f5331.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/jych/librnn.git>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Temporal Models","Significance level (alpha)":"0.05","Statistical Test":"AESR"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LSTM

Pass Rate: 77.04. Result ID: 6a216e08fbc373592c1e878d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Temporal Models","Significance level (alpha)":"0.05","Statistical Test":"AESR"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### NN

Pass Rate: 74.8. Result ID: 6a216e08fbc373592c1e878a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Point-wise Models","Significance level (alpha)":"0.05","Statistical Test":"AESR"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LANN

Pass Rate: 66.62. Result ID: 6a216e08fbc373592c1e878b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Temporal Models","Significance level (alpha)":"0.05","Statistical Test":"AESR"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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