# Electricity Price Forecasting on Shanxi China 12-month summary Real-time Source: [Electricity Price Forecasting on Shanxi China 12-month summary Real-time]() Collection index: [llms.txt]() Data updated: 2026-03-10T08:00:31.742Z Evaluation of models performing Electricity Price Forecasting on the Shanxi China 12-month summary Real-time dataset, assessed using MSE and MAE. A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage. | Scope | Recorded value | | --- | --- | | Task | Electricity Price Forecasting | | Dataset (including any stated split) | Shanxi China 12-month summary Real-time | | Metric | MSE (Val) | | Unit | SCALAR | | Direction | Lower is better | | Results loaded | 15 of 15 | | Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark | Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol. ## Metrics - [MSE (Val)](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [MSE Change vs LGBM](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [MSE Change vs ZS](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [MAE (Val)](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [MAE Change vs LGBM](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [MAE Change vs ZS](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. ## Recorded results | Method | MSE (Val) | Result date | Report paper | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | TimerXL | 44522.21 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | Sundial | 45415.52 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | Moirai2 | 45987.65 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | Chronos2 | 46683.65 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | Chronos2 | 46697.19 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | TimesFM | 46778.28 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | TiRex | 46944.86 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | LGBM | 49182.67 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | Chronos2 | 64820.38 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | Sundial | 72219.22 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | Chronos2 | 72517.75 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | TiRex | 79122.98 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | Moirai2 | 79852.29 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | TimesFM | 81627.66 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | TimerXL | 86353.72 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | ### TimerXL MSE (Val): 44522.21. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3c1. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"FutureBoosting":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Sundial MSE (Val): 45415.52. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3c3. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"FutureBoosting":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Moirai2 MSE (Val): 45987.65. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3cb. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"FutureBoosting":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Chronos2 MSE (Val): 46683.65. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3c7. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"variant":"future","FutureBoosting":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Chronos2 MSE (Val): 46697.19. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3c5. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"variant":"mv","FutureBoosting":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TimesFM MSE (Val): 46778.28. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3c9. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"FutureBoosting":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TiRex MSE (Val): 46944.86. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3cd. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"FutureBoosting":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### LGBM MSE (Val): 49182.67. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3bf. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"config":"ic27"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Chronos2 MSE (Val): 64820.38. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3c6. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"variant":"future","FutureBoosting":"false"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Sundial MSE (Val): 72219.22. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3c2. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"FutureBoosting":"false"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Chronos2 MSE (Val): 72517.75. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3c4. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"variant":"mv","FutureBoosting":"false"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TiRex MSE (Val): 79122.98. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3cc. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"FutureBoosting":"false"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Moirai2 MSE (Val): 79852.29. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3ca. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"FutureBoosting":"false"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TimesFM MSE (Val): 81627.66. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3c8. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"FutureBoosting":"false"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TimerXL MSE (Val): 86353.72. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3c0. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"FutureBoosting":"false"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.