# Electricity Price Forecasting on Shanxi China 12-month summary Day-ahead Source: [Electricity Price Forecasting on Shanxi China 12-month summary Day-ahead]() Collection index: [llms.txt]() Data updated: 2026-03-10T08:00:31.711Z Evaluation of models performing day-ahead electricity price forecasting using the Shanxi China 12-month summary dataset, assessed using MSE and MAE. A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage. | Scope | Recorded value | | --- | --- | | Task | Electricity Price Forecasting | | Dataset (including any stated split) | Shanxi China 12-month summary Day-ahead | | Metric | MSE | | Unit | SCALAR | | Direction | Lower is better | | Results loaded | 15 of 15 | | Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark | Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol. ## Metrics - [MSE](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [MSE Change vs LGBM (%)](): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT. - [MSE Change vs ZS (%)](): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT. - [MAE](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [MAE Change vs LGBM (%)](): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT. - [MAE Change vs ZS (%)](): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT. ## Recorded results | Method | MSE | Result date | Report paper | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | TimerXL | 33978.45 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | Chronos2 | 34344.18 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | Moirai2 | 34930.18 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | Chronos2 | 35315.01 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | TimesFM | 35411.86 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | TiRex | 35543.37 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | Sundial | 35586.43 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | LGBM | 35658.52 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | Chronos2 | 52197.23 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | Sundial | 62979.6 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | Chronos2 | 63465.48 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | Moirai2 | 65750.8 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | TimesFM | 66423.97 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | TiRex | 67450.65 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | TimerXL | 76278.9 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | ### TimerXL MSE: 33978.45. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3b2. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"FutureBoosting":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Chronos2 MSE: 34344.18. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3b6. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"variant":"mv","FutureBoosting":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Moirai2 MSE: 34930.18. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3bc. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"FutureBoosting":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Chronos2 MSE: 35315.01. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3b8. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"variant":"future","FutureBoosting":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TimesFM MSE: 35411.86. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3ba. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"FutureBoosting":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TiRex MSE: 35543.37. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3be. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"FutureBoosting":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Sundial MSE: 35586.43. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3b4. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"FutureBoosting":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### LGBM MSE: 35658.52. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3b0. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"config":"ic27"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Chronos2 MSE: 52197.23. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3b7. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"variant":"future","FutureBoosting":"false"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Sundial MSE: 62979.6. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3b3. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"FutureBoosting":"false"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Chronos2 MSE: 63465.48. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3b5. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"variant":"mv","FutureBoosting":"false"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Moirai2 MSE: 65750.8. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3bb. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"FutureBoosting":"false"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TimesFM MSE: 66423.97. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3b9. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"FutureBoosting":"false"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TiRex MSE: 67450.65. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3bd. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"FutureBoosting":"false"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TimerXL MSE: 76278.9. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3b1. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"FutureBoosting":"false"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.