# Electricity Price Forecasting on Real-E FR 24-step (test) Source: [Electricity Price Forecasting on Real-E FR 24-step (test)]() Collection index: [llms.txt]() Data updated: 2026-03-10T08:00:31.637Z Evaluation of models performing Electricity Price Forecasting on the test split of the Real-E FR 24-step dataset, measured using standard MSE/MAE and delta metrics relative to Linear and Zero-Shot baselines. A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage. | Scope | Recorded value | | --- | --- | | Task | Electricity Price Forecasting | | Dataset (including any stated split) | Real-E FR 24-step (test) | | Metric | MSE | | Unit | SCALAR | | Direction | Lower is better | | Results loaded | 13 of 13 | | Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark | Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol. ## Metrics - [MSE](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [MSE Improvement vs Linear (%)](): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT. - [MSE Improvement vs ZS (%)](): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT. - [MAE](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [MAE Improvement vs Linear (%)](): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT. - [MAE Improvement vs ZS (%)](): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT. ## Recorded results | Method | MSE | Result date | Report paper | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Chronos2 + FutureBoosting | 2.9 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | TimesFM + FutureBoosting | 3.001 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | TiRex + FutureBoosting | 3.15 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | Moirai2 + FutureBoosting | 3.21 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | Sundial + FutureBoosting | 3.45 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | Chronos2 | 3.61 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | TimerXL + FutureBoosting | 3.66 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | TimesFM | 3.723 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | TiRex | 3.76 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | Moirai2 | 3.81 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | Sundial | 4 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | TimerXL | 4.41 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | Linear | 22.33 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | ### Chronos2 + FutureBoosting MSE: 2.9. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f39c. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Chronos2","FutureBoosting":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TimesFM + FutureBoosting MSE: 3.001. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3a2. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"TimesFM","FutureBoosting":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TiRex + FutureBoosting MSE: 3.15. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f39e. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"TiRex","FutureBoosting":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Moirai2 + FutureBoosting MSE: 3.21. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3a0. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Moirai2","FutureBoosting":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Sundial + FutureBoosting MSE: 3.45. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f39a. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Sundial","FutureBoosting":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Chronos2 MSE: 3.61. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f39b. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Chronos2"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TimerXL + FutureBoosting MSE: 3.66. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f398. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"TimerXL","FutureBoosting":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TimesFM MSE: 3.723. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3a1. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"TimesFM"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TiRex MSE: 3.76. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f39d. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"TiRex"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Moirai2 MSE: 3.81. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f39f. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Moirai2"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Sundial MSE: 4. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f399. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Sundial"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TimerXL MSE: 4.41. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f397. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"TimerXL"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Linear MSE: 22.33. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f396. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Type":"Regression-only Linear"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.