# Electricity Price Forecasting on Real-E 24-step (test) Source: [Electricity Price Forecasting on Real-E 24-step (test)]() Collection index: [llms.txt]() Data updated: 2026-03-10T08:00:31.677Z Evaluation of models performing Electricity Price Forecasting on the test split of the Real-E 24-step dataset, assessed using MSE and MAE relative to validation, linear, and zero-shot baselines. A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage. | Scope | Recorded value | | --- | --- | | Task | Electricity Price Forecasting | | Dataset (including any stated split) | Real-E DE 24-step (test) | | Metric | MSE (Val) | | Unit | SCALAR | | Direction | Lower is better | | Results loaded | 13 of 13 | | Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark | Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol. ## Metrics - [MSE (Val)](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [MSE (ΔLinear)](): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT. - [MSE (ΔZS)](): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT. - [MAE (Val)](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [MAE (ΔLinear)](): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT. - [MAE (ΔZS)](): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT. ## Recorded results | Method | MSE (Val) | Result date | Report paper | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Chronos2 + FutureBoosting | 1.49 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | Moirai2 + FutureBoosting | 1.53 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | TiRex + FutureBoosting | 1.63 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | TimesFM + FutureBoosting | 1.81 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | TimerXL + FutureBoosting | 1.85 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | Chronos2 | 2.28 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | Moirai2 | 2.3 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | TiRex | 2.31 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | Sundial + FutureBoosting | 2.32 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | TimesFM | 2.908 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | TimerXL | 3 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | Sundial | 4.23 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | | Linear | 13.63 | Not recorded | 69afa5802d603e6de3e43a22 | ### Chronos2 + FutureBoosting MSE (Val): 1.49. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3a9. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Chronos2","FutureBoosting":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Moirai2 + FutureBoosting MSE (Val): 1.53. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3ad. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Moirai2","FutureBoosting":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TiRex + FutureBoosting MSE (Val): 1.63. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3ab. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"TiRex","FutureBoosting":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TimesFM + FutureBoosting MSE (Val): 1.81. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3af. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"TimesFM","FutureBoosting":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TimerXL + FutureBoosting MSE (Val): 1.85. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3a5. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"TimerXL","FutureBoosting":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Chronos2 MSE (Val): 2.28. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3a8. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Chronos2"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Moirai2 MSE (Val): 2.3. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3ac. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Moirai2"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TiRex MSE (Val): 2.31. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3aa. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"TiRex"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Sundial + FutureBoosting MSE (Val): 2.32. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3a7. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Sundial","FutureBoosting":"true"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TimesFM MSE (Val): 2.908. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3ae. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"TimesFM"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TimerXL MSE (Val): 3. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3a4. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"TimerXL"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Sundial MSE (Val): 4.23. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3a6. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Sundial"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Linear MSE (Val): 13.63. Result ID: 69afcf4c6dbb7075b957f3a3. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Type":"Regression-only Linear"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.