Electrical Load Forecasting on ERCOT 2024-2025 (test)
713MAE (MW)Physics-Informed Ensemble
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Physics-Informed Ensemble2026.04 | 713 | 812 | 1.18 | 98.82 | |
| Transformer branch (PI)Physics-Informed=true2026.04 | 803 | 918 | 1.28 | 98.72 | |
| Weather-Informed Transformer2026.04 | 892 | 992 | 1.41 | 98.59 | |
| CNN branch (PI)Physics-Informed=true2026.04 | 1,103 | 1,285 | 1.72 | 98.28 | |
| Weather-Informed LSTM2026.04 | 1,402 | 1,490 | 2.2 | 97.8 | |
| Attention CNN–LSTM2026.04 | 1,431 | 1,915 | 2.53 | 97.47 | |
| Linear Regression2026.04 | 7,390 | 7,538 | 11.1 | 88.9 |