Decision Utility Forecasting on ERA5 3-day lead
22.8Decision Utility ImprovementHorizon-Constrained Rashomon Sets
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | |
|---|---|---|
| Horizon-Constrained Rashomon SetsSelection Strategy=Decision-aligned selection2026.04 | 22.8 | |
| Ensemble AverageSelection Strategy=Averaging over Rashomon set2026.04 | 7.5 | |
| Single BestSelection Strategy=Minimizing validation RMSE2026.04 | 0 | |
| Random SelectionSelection Strategy=Uniform sampling from Rashomon set2026.04 | -4.3 |