# Day-ahead electrical load forecasting on TransnetBW (test)

Source: [Day-ahead electrical load forecasting on TransnetBW (test)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/day-ahead-electrical-load-forecasting-on-transnetbw-test>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-05-01T09:03:41.704Z

Evaluation of models performing Day-ahead electrical load forecasting on the test split of the TransnetBW dataset, assessed using MAE, RMSE, and MAPE.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Day-ahead electrical load forecasting |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | TransnetBW (test) |
| Metric | MAE |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 7 of 7 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [MAE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/day-ahead-electrical-load-forecasting-on-transnetbw-test.md?metric=MAE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [RMSE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/day-ahead-electrical-load-forecasting-on-transnetbw-test.md?metric=RMSE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MAPE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/day-ahead-electrical-load-forecasting-on-transnetbw-test.md?metric=MAPE>): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT.

## Recorded results

| Method | MAE | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Transformer | 150.2 | Not recorded | 69f433a655a3c32af89fd23f |
| Chronos-2 | 156.2 | Not recorded | 69f433a655a3c32af89fd23f |
| TabPFN-TS | 163.2 | Not recorded | 69f433a655a3c32af89fd23f |
| Transformer | 213.4 | Not recorded | 69f433a655a3c32af89fd23f |
| Chronos-2 | 214 | Not recorded | 69f433a655a3c32af89fd23f |
| TabPFN-TS | 238.1 | Not recorded | 69f433a655a3c32af89fd23f |
| Baseline | 325.9 | Not recorded | 69f433a655a3c32af89fd23f |

### Transformer

MAE: 150.2. Result ID: 69f46c4e47f34ce924da93e1.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69f433a655a3c32af89fd23f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Training data":"8.75 years","Setting":"covariate-informed"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Chronos-2

MAE: 156.2. Result ID: 69f46c4e47f34ce924da93e5.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69f433a655a3c32af89fd23f.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa7c481e209131cea8d633.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Training data":"—","Setting":"covariate-informed"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TabPFN-TS

MAE: 163.2. Result ID: 69f46c4e47f34ce924da93e3.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69f433a655a3c32af89fd23f.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78dc1e209131cea7add3.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Training data":"—","Setting":"covariate-informed"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Transformer

MAE: 213.4. Result ID: 69f46c4e47f34ce924da93e0.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69f433a655a3c32af89fd23f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Training data":"1 year","Setting":"covariate-informed"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Chronos-2

MAE: 214. Result ID: 69f46c4e47f34ce924da93e4.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69f433a655a3c32af89fd23f.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa7c481e209131cea8d633.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Training data":"—","Setting":"univariate"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TabPFN-TS

MAE: 238.1. Result ID: 69f46c4e47f34ce924da93e2.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69f433a655a3c32af89fd23f.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78dc1e209131cea7add3.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Training data":"—","Setting":"univariate"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Baseline

MAE: 325.9. Result ID: 69f46c4e47f34ce924da93df.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69f433a655a3c32af89fd23f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Training data":"—"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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