# COVID-19 prediction on University Hospitals Birmingham (UHB) CURIAL (test)

Source: [COVID-19 prediction on University Hospitals Birmingham (UHB) CURIAL (test)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/covid-19-prediction-on-university-hospitals-birmingham-uhb-curial-test>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-03-11T08:35:44.710Z

Evaluation of COVID-19 prediction models using the test split of the University Hospitals Birmingham (UHB) CURIAL cohort, reporting metrics such as AUROC, Sensitivity, Specificity, PPV, and NPV.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | COVID-19 prediction |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | University Hospitals Birmingham (UHB) CURIAL (test) |
| Metric | AUROC |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 5 of 5 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [AUROC](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/covid-19-prediction-on-university-hospitals-birmingham-uhb-curial-test.md?metric=AUROC>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Sensitivity](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/covid-19-prediction-on-university-hospitals-birmingham-uhb-curial-test.md?metric=Sensitivity>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Specificity](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/covid-19-prediction-on-university-hospitals-birmingham-uhb-curial-test.md?metric=Specificity>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [PPV](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/covid-19-prediction-on-university-hospitals-birmingham-uhb-curial-test.md?metric=PPV>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [NPV](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/covid-19-prediction-on-university-hospitals-birmingham-uhb-curial-test.md?metric=NPV>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | AUROC | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| XGBoost (Full Dataset) | 0.925 | Not recorded | 69b0f7272d603e6de3e45ef1 |
| Zero-Order-DC | 0.909 | Not recorded | 69b0f7272d603e6de3e45ef1 |
| Zero-Order-DC | 0.889 | Not recorded | 69b0f7272d603e6de3e45ef1 |
| Zero-Order-DC | 0.886 | Not recorded | 69b0f7272d603e6de3e45ef1 |
| Zero-Order-DC | 0.849 | Not recorded | 69b0f7272d603e6de3e45ef1 |

### XGBoost (Full Dataset)

AUROC: 0.925. Result ID: 69b1295c6dbb7075b95b9728.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69b0f7272d603e6de3e45ef1.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"IPC":"Full"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Zero-Order-DC

AUROC: 0.909. Result ID: 69b1295c6dbb7075b95b9725.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69b0f7272d603e6de3e45ef1.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69b0f7272d603e6de3e45ef1.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"IPC":"100","Privacy Budget (epsilon)":"2.20"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Zero-Order-DC

AUROC: 0.889. Result ID: 69b1295c6dbb7075b95b9726.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69b0f7272d603e6de3e45ef1.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69b0f7272d603e6de3e45ef1.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"IPC":"500","Privacy Budget (epsilon)":"3.19"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Zero-Order-DC

AUROC: 0.886. Result ID: 69b1295c6dbb7075b95b9727.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69b0f7272d603e6de3e45ef1.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69b0f7272d603e6de3e45ef1.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"IPC":"1000","Privacy Budget (epsilon)":"3.45"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Zero-Order-DC

AUROC: 0.849. Result ID: 69b1295c6dbb7075b95b9724.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69b0f7272d603e6de3e45ef1.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69b0f7272d603e6de3e45ef1.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"IPC":"50","Privacy Budget (epsilon)":"1.99"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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