# COVID-19 prediction on Oxford University Hospitals (OUH) (test)

Source: [COVID-19 prediction on Oxford University Hospitals (OUH) (test)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/covid-19-prediction-on-oxford-university-hospitals-ouh-test>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-03-11T08:35:44.620Z

Evaluation of models for COVID-19 prediction using the test split of the Oxford University Hospitals (OUH) dataset, reporting metrics including AUROC, Sensitivity, Specificity, and Privacy Budget.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | COVID-19 prediction |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | Oxford University Hospitals (OUH) (test) |
| Metric | AUROC |
| Unit | PERCENT |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 5 of 5 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [AUROC](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/covid-19-prediction-on-oxford-university-hospitals-ouh-test.md?metric=AUROC>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [Sensitivity](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/covid-19-prediction-on-oxford-university-hospitals-ouh-test.md?metric=Sensitivity>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [Specificity](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/covid-19-prediction-on-oxford-university-hospitals-ouh-test.md?metric=Specificity>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [PPV (Positive Predictive Value)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/covid-19-prediction-on-oxford-university-hospitals-ouh-test.md?metric=PPV%20(Positive%20Predictive%20Value)>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [NPV (Negative Predictive Value)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/covid-19-prediction-on-oxford-university-hospitals-ouh-test.md?metric=NPV%20(Negative%20Predictive%20Value)>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [Privacy Budget (ϵ)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/covid-19-prediction-on-oxford-university-hospitals-ouh-test.md?metric=Privacy%20Budget%20(%CF%B5)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | AUROC | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Full Dataset Baseline (XGBoost) | 91.1 | Not recorded | 69b0f7272d603e6de3e45ef1 |
| Zero-Order-DC | 89.1 | Not recorded | 69b0f7272d603e6de3e45ef1 |
| Zero-Order-DC | 87.3 | Not recorded | 69b0f7272d603e6de3e45ef1 |
| Zero-Order-DC | 87 | Not recorded | 69b0f7272d603e6de3e45ef1 |
| Zero-Order-DC | 85.5 | Not recorded | 69b0f7272d603e6de3e45ef1 |

### Full Dataset Baseline (XGBoost)

AUROC: 91.1. Result ID: 69b1295c6dbb7075b95b9714.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69b0f7272d603e6de3e45ef1.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Instances":"Full Dataset"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Zero-Order-DC

AUROC: 89.1. Result ID: 69b1295c6dbb7075b95b9713.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69b0f7272d603e6de3e45ef1.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69b0f7272d603e6de3e45ef1.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Instances":"1000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Zero-Order-DC

AUROC: 87.3. Result ID: 69b1295c6dbb7075b95b9711.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69b0f7272d603e6de3e45ef1.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69b0f7272d603e6de3e45ef1.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Instances":"100"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Zero-Order-DC

AUROC: 87. Result ID: 69b1295c6dbb7075b95b9712.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69b0f7272d603e6de3e45ef1.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69b0f7272d603e6de3e45ef1.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Instances":"500"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Zero-Order-DC

AUROC: 85.5. Result ID: 69b1295c6dbb7075b95b9710.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69b0f7272d603e6de3e45ef1.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69b0f7272d603e6de3e45ef1.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Instances":"50"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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