# Counterfactual Generation on M4

Source: [Counterfactual Generation on M4](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/counterfactual-generation-on-m4>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-06-17T07:54:57.160Z

Evaluation of Counterfactual Generation methods applied to the M4 dataset, measured using Ratio and S-AUC.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Counterfactual generation |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | M4 |
| Metric | Ratio |
| Unit | PERCENT |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 16 of 16 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [Ratio](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/counterfactual-generation-on-m4.md?metric=Ratio>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [S-AUC](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/counterfactual-generation-on-m4.md?metric=S-AUC>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

## Recorded results

| Method | Ratio | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| BaseNN | 100 | Not recorded | 6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86 |
| BaseNN | 100 | Not recorded | 6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86 |
| BaseNN | 100 | Not recorded | 6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86 |
| BaseNN | 100 | Not recorded | 6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86 |
| ConTex | 99.7 | Not recorded | 6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86 |
| ConTex | 99.7 | Not recorded | 6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86 |
| ConTex | 99.7 | Not recorded | 6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86 |
| BaseShift | 99.6 | Not recorded | 6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86 |
| BaseShift | 99.6 | Not recorded | 6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86 |
| BaseShift | 99.5 | Not recorded | 6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86 |
| BaseShift | 99.5 | Not recorded | 6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86 |
| ConTex | 97 | Not recorded | 6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86 |
| ForecastCF | 84.7 | Not recorded | 6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86 |
| ForecastCF | 83.6 | Not recorded | 6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86 |
| ForecastCF | 82.7 | Not recorded | 6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86 |
| ForecastCF | 70.7 | Not recorded | 6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86 |

### BaseNN

Ratio: 100. Result ID: 6a3252cefbc373592c2fa9fe.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70da1e209131cea4db73.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model":"PatchTST"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### BaseNN

Ratio: 100. Result ID: 6a3252cefbc373592c2faa02.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70da1e209131cea4db73.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model":"N-HiTS"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### BaseNN

Ratio: 100. Result ID: 6a3252cefbc373592c2faa06.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70da1e209131cea4db73.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model":"DLinear"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### BaseNN

Ratio: 100. Result ID: 6a3252cefbc373592c2faa0a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70da1e209131cea4db73.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model":"TiDE"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ConTex

Ratio: 99.7. Result ID: 6a3252cefbc373592c2fa9fc.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model":"PatchTST"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ConTex

Ratio: 99.7. Result ID: 6a3252cefbc373592c2faa00.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model":"N-HiTS"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ConTex

Ratio: 99.7. Result ID: 6a3252cefbc373592c2faa04.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model":"DLinear"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### BaseShift

Ratio: 99.6. Result ID: 6a3252cefbc373592c2fa9fd.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70da1e209131cea4db73.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model":"PatchTST"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### BaseShift

Ratio: 99.6. Result ID: 6a3252cefbc373592c2faa01.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70da1e209131cea4db73.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model":"N-HiTS"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### BaseShift

Ratio: 99.5. Result ID: 6a3252cefbc373592c2faa05.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70da1e209131cea4db73.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model":"DLinear"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### BaseShift

Ratio: 99.5. Result ID: 6a3252cefbc373592c2faa09.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70da1e209131cea4db73.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model":"TiDE"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ConTex

Ratio: 97. Result ID: 6a3252cefbc373592c2faa08.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model":"TiDE"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ForecastCF

Ratio: 84.7. Result ID: 6a3252cefbc373592c2fa9ff.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70da1e209131cea4db73.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model":"N-HiTS"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ForecastCF

Ratio: 83.6. Result ID: 6a3252cefbc373592c2faa03.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70da1e209131cea4db73.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model":"DLinear"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ForecastCF

Ratio: 82.7. Result ID: 6a3252cefbc373592c2faa07.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70da1e209131cea4db73.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model":"TiDE"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ForecastCF

Ratio: 70.7. Result ID: 6a3252cefbc373592c2fa9fb.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a322a59d33dfb23e783ed86.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70da1e209131cea4db73.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model":"PatchTST"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.
