# Conformal Prediction on synthetic data 5-class Example 2 covariate shift a=0.5 Easy Bin (r\* \> 0.5)

Source: [Conformal Prediction on synthetic data 5-class Example 2 covariate shift a=0.5 Easy Bin (r\* \> 0.5)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/conformal-prediction-on-synthetic-data-5-class-example-2-covariate-shift-a-0-5-easy-bin-r-0-5>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-06-16T07:01:14.630Z

Evaluation of Conformal Prediction performance on the synthetic dataset variant 'Example 2' characterized by 5 classes, a covariate shift parameter a=0.5, evaluated specifically on the 'Easy Bin (r\* \> 0.5)' subset.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Conformal Prediction |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | synthetic data 5-class Example 2 covariate shift a=0.5 Easy Bin (r\* \> 0.5) |
| Metric | Coverage |
| Unit | PERCENT |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 30 of 30 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [Coverage](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/conformal-prediction-on-synthetic-data-5-class-example-2-covariate-shift-a-0-5-easy-bin-r-0-5.md?metric=Coverage>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [Size](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/conformal-prediction-on-synthetic-data-5-class-example-2-covariate-shift-a-0-5-easy-bin-r-0-5.md?metric=Size>): Lower is better; unit: SIZE.

## Recorded results

| Method | Coverage | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Standard | 96.6 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| Standard | 96.6 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| Standard | 96.6 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| Standard | 96.6 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| Standard | 96.5 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| Retrain | 96 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| AdaTS | 95.9 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| AdaTS | 95.8 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| AdaTS | 95.8 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| AdaTS | 95.8 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-AEC | 95.7 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| AdaTS | 95.6 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-AEC | 95.2 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-AEC | 95 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| Retrain | 94.8 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-MC | 94.6 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-ACC | 94.5 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-AEC | 94.5 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-AEC | 94.3 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-ACC | 94 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-ACC | 93.9 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-ACC | 93.7 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-MC | 93.4 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-ACC | 93.4 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| Retrain | 93.2 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-MC | 92.8 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-MC | 92.6 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-MC | 92.2 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| Retrain | 91.8 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| Retrain | 88.5 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |

### Standard

Coverage: 96.6. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca07d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"200"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Standard

Coverage: 96.6. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca083.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"500"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Standard

Coverage: 96.6. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca089.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"1000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Standard

Coverage: 96.6. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca095.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"5000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Standard

Coverage: 96.5. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca08f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"2000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Retrain

Coverage: 96. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca088.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"1000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### AdaTS

Coverage: 95.9. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca07b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa75031e209131cea6542d.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"200"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### AdaTS

Coverage: 95.8. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca081.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa75031e209131cea6542d.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"500"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### AdaTS

Coverage: 95.8. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca087.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa75031e209131cea6542d.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"1000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### AdaTS

Coverage: 95.8. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca093.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa75031e209131cea6542d.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"5000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-AEC

Coverage: 95.7. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca079.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"200"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### AdaTS

Coverage: 95.6. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca08d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa75031e209131cea6542d.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"2000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-AEC

Coverage: 95.2. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca07f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"500"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-AEC

Coverage: 95. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca085.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"1000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Retrain

Coverage: 94.8. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca08e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"2000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-MC

Coverage: 94.6. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca07a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"200"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-ACC

Coverage: 94.5. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca078.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"200"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-AEC

Coverage: 94.5. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca08b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"2000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-AEC

Coverage: 94.3. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca091.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"5000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-ACC

Coverage: 94. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca07e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"500"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-ACC

Coverage: 93.9. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca084.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"1000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-ACC

Coverage: 93.7. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca08a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"2000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-MC

Coverage: 93.4. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca080.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"500"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-ACC

Coverage: 93.4. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca090.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"5000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Retrain

Coverage: 93.2. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca094.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"5000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-MC

Coverage: 92.8. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca086.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"1000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-MC

Coverage: 92.6. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca08c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"2000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-MC

Coverage: 92.2. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca092.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"5000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Retrain

Coverage: 91.8. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca082.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"500"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Retrain

Coverage: 88.5. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca07c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"200"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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