# Conformal Prediction on ImageNet ILSVRC2012 (test)

Source: [Conformal Prediction on ImageNet ILSVRC2012 (test)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/conformal-prediction-on-imagenet-ilsvrc2012-test>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-02-26T05:36:18.181Z

Evaluation of Conformal Prediction methods on the test split of the ImageNet ILSVRC2012 dataset, focusing on uncertainty quantification metrics like average prediction set size.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Conformal Prediction |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | ImageNet ILSVRC2012 (test) |
| Metric | Avg Prediction Set Size |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 18 of 18 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [Avg Prediction Set Size](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/conformal-prediction-on-imagenet-ilsvrc2012-test.md?metric=Avg%20Prediction%20Set%20Size>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | Avg Prediction Set Size | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| RAPS+TTA-Learned | 2.312 | Not recorded | 68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0 |
| RAPS+TTA-Avg | 2.327 | Not recorded | 68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0 |
| RAPS+TTA-Learned | 2.362 | Not recorded | 68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0 |
| RAPS+TTA-Avg | 2.47 | Not recorded | 68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0 |
| RAPS | 2.548 | Not recorded | 68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0 |
| RAPS | 2.548 | Not recorded | 68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0 |
| RAPS+TTA-Learned | 4.889 | Not recorded | 68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0 |
| RAPS+TTA-Avg | 4.908 | Not recorded | 68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0 |
| RAPS+TTA-Learned | 5.04 | Not recorded | 68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0 |
| RAPS+TTA-Avg | 5.318 | Not recorded | 68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0 |
| RAPS | 5.637 | Not recorded | 68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0 |
| RAPS | 5.637 | Not recorded | 68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0 |
| RAPS+TTA-Learned | 31.248 | Not recorded | 68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0 |
| RAPS+TTA-Avg | 31.681 | Not recorded | 68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0 |
| RAPS+TTA-Learned | 32.702 | Not recorded | 68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0 |
| RAPS+TTA-Avg | 35.6 | Not recorded | 68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0 |
| RAPS | 37.751 | Not recorded | 68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0 |
| RAPS | 37.751 | Not recorded | 68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0 |

### RAPS+TTA-Learned

Avg Prediction Set Size: 2.312. Result ID: 6995af333badfaffe6ae684b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Alpha":0.1,"Augmentation Policy":"Expanded Augmentation Policy"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### RAPS+TTA-Avg

Avg Prediction Set Size: 2.327. Result ID: 6995af333badfaffe6ae6853.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Alpha":0.1,"Augmentation Policy":"Simple Augmentation Policy"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### RAPS+TTA-Learned

Avg Prediction Set Size: 2.362. Result ID: 6995af333badfaffe6ae6854.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Alpha":0.1,"Augmentation Policy":"Simple Augmentation Policy"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### RAPS+TTA-Avg

Avg Prediction Set Size: 2.47. Result ID: 6995af333badfaffe6ae684a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Alpha":0.1,"Augmentation Policy":"Expanded Augmentation Policy"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### RAPS

Avg Prediction Set Size: 2.548. Result ID: 6995af333badfaffe6ae6849.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa59911e209131ce9b81a6.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Alpha":0.1,"Augmentation Policy":"Expanded Augmentation Policy"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### RAPS

Avg Prediction Set Size: 2.548. Result ID: 6995af333badfaffe6ae6852.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa59911e209131ce9b81a6.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Alpha":0.1,"Augmentation Policy":"Simple Augmentation Policy"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### RAPS+TTA-Learned

Avg Prediction Set Size: 4.889. Result ID: 6995af333badfaffe6ae6848.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Alpha":0.05,"Augmentation Policy":"Expanded Augmentation Policy"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### RAPS+TTA-Avg

Avg Prediction Set Size: 4.908. Result ID: 6995af333badfaffe6ae6850.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Alpha":0.05,"Augmentation Policy":"Simple Augmentation Policy"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### RAPS+TTA-Learned

Avg Prediction Set Size: 5.04. Result ID: 6995af333badfaffe6ae6851.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Alpha":0.05,"Augmentation Policy":"Simple Augmentation Policy"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### RAPS+TTA-Avg

Avg Prediction Set Size: 5.318. Result ID: 6995af333badfaffe6ae6847.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Alpha":0.05,"Augmentation Policy":"Expanded Augmentation Policy"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### RAPS

Avg Prediction Set Size: 5.637. Result ID: 6995af333badfaffe6ae6846.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa59911e209131ce9b81a6.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Alpha":0.05,"Augmentation Policy":"Expanded Augmentation Policy"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### RAPS

Avg Prediction Set Size: 5.637. Result ID: 6995af333badfaffe6ae684f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa59911e209131ce9b81a6.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Alpha":0.05,"Augmentation Policy":"Simple Augmentation Policy"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### RAPS+TTA-Learned

Avg Prediction Set Size: 31.248. Result ID: 6995af333badfaffe6ae6845.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Alpha":0.01,"Augmentation Policy":"Expanded Augmentation Policy"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### RAPS+TTA-Avg

Avg Prediction Set Size: 31.681. Result ID: 6995af333badfaffe6ae684d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Alpha":0.01,"Augmentation Policy":"Simple Augmentation Policy"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### RAPS+TTA-Learned

Avg Prediction Set Size: 32.702. Result ID: 6995af333badfaffe6ae684e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Alpha":0.01,"Augmentation Policy":"Simple Augmentation Policy"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### RAPS+TTA-Avg

Avg Prediction Set Size: 35.6. Result ID: 6995af333badfaffe6ae6844.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Alpha":0.01,"Augmentation Policy":"Expanded Augmentation Policy"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### RAPS

Avg Prediction Set Size: 37.751. Result ID: 6995af333badfaffe6ae6843.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa59911e209131ce9b81a6.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Alpha":0.01,"Augmentation Policy":"Expanded Augmentation Policy"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### RAPS

Avg Prediction Set Size: 37.751. Result ID: 6995af333badfaffe6ae684c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78eb1e209131cea7b3a0.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa59911e209131ce9b81a6.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Alpha":0.01,"Augmentation Policy":"Simple Augmentation Policy"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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