# Conformal Prediction on 5-class synthetic data Marginal

Source: [Conformal Prediction on 5-class synthetic data Marginal](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/conformal-prediction-on-5-class-synthetic-data-marginal>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-06-16T07:01:15.154Z

Evaluation of Conformal Prediction performance on the specific '5-class synthetic data Marginal' dataset configuration, focusing on marginal metrics like Coverage and Average Set Size.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Conformal Prediction |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | 5-class synthetic data Marginal |
| Metric | Coverage |
| Unit | PERCENT |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 30 of 30 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [Coverage](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/conformal-prediction-on-5-class-synthetic-data-marginal.md?metric=Coverage>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [Average Set Size](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/conformal-prediction-on-5-class-synthetic-data-marginal.md?metric=Average%20Set%20Size>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | Coverage | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| ACP-AEC | 92.3 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-AEC | 92.2 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-ACC | 92 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-ACC | 92 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-ACC | 91.9 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-ACC | 91.8 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-ACC | 91.7 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-AEC | 91.4 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-MC | 90.3 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| AdaTS | 90.3 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-AEC | 90.2 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-AEC | 90.2 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-MC | 90.2 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-MC | 90.1 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| Retrain | 90.1 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| Retrain | 90.1 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| AdaTS | 90 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| Standard | 90 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-MC | 90 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| AdaTS | 89.9 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| Standard | 89.9 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| ACP-MC | 89.8 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| AdaTS | 89.8 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| Standard | 89.7 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| Standard | 89.7 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| AdaTS | 89.6 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| Retrain | 89.5 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| Standard | 89.4 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| Retrain | 89.4 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |
| Retrain | 88.8 | Not recorded | 6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51 |

### ACP-AEC

Coverage: 92.3. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1cc.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"2000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-AEC

Coverage: 92.2. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1d2.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"5000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-ACC

Coverage: 92. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1cb.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"2000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-ACC

Coverage: 92. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1d1.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"5000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-ACC

Coverage: 91.9. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1bf.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"500"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-ACC

Coverage: 91.8. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1c5.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"1000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-ACC

Coverage: 91.7. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1b9.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"200"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-AEC

Coverage: 91.4. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1c6.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"1000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-MC

Coverage: 90.3. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1bb.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"200"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### AdaTS

Coverage: 90.3. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1bc.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa75031e209131cea6542d.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"200"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-AEC

Coverage: 90.2. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1ba.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"200"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-AEC

Coverage: 90.2. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1c0.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"500"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-MC

Coverage: 90.2. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1cd.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"2000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-MC

Coverage: 90.1. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1c7.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"1000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Retrain

Coverage: 90.1. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1cf.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"2000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Retrain

Coverage: 90.1. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1d5.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"5000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### AdaTS

Coverage: 90. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1ce.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa75031e209131cea6542d.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"2000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Standard

Coverage: 90. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1d0.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"2000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-MC

Coverage: 90. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1d3.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"5000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### AdaTS

Coverage: 89.9. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1c2.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa75031e209131cea6542d.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"500"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Standard

Coverage: 89.9. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1d6.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"5000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ACP-MC

Coverage: 89.8. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1c1.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"500"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### AdaTS

Coverage: 89.8. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1d4.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa75031e209131cea6542d.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"5000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Standard

Coverage: 89.7. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1c4.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"500"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Standard

Coverage: 89.7. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1ca.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"1000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### AdaTS

Coverage: 89.6. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1c8.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa75031e209131cea6542d.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"1000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Retrain

Coverage: 89.5. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1c9.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"1000"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Standard

Coverage: 89.4. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1be.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"200"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Retrain

Coverage: 89.4. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1c3.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"500"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Retrain

Coverage: 88.8. Result ID: 6a30f4b7fbc373592c2ca1bd.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a30d896d33dfb23e783cc51.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Calibration Samples":"200"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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