# Confidence region coverage estimation on Model synthetic 5.1

Source: [Confidence region coverage estimation on Model synthetic 5.1](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/confidence-region-coverage-estimation-on-model-synthetic-5-1>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-02-26T05:40:05.147Z

Evaluation of model performance on the Model synthetic 5.1 dataset, specifically measuring the coverage probability related to confidence region estimation.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Confidence region coverage estimation |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | Model synthetic 5.1 |
| Metric | Coverage Probability |
| Unit | PERCENT |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 27 of 27 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [Coverage Probability](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/confidence-region-coverage-estimation-on-model-synthetic-5-1.md?metric=Coverage%20Probability>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

## Recorded results

| Method | Coverage Probability | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| EL | 95.45 | Not recorded | 697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c |
| EEL | 95.2 | Not recorded | 697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c |
| EL | 95.1 | Not recorded | 697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c |
| EL | 95.05 | Not recorded | 697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c |
| EL | 94.95 | Not recorded | 697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c |
| EEL | 94.9 | Not recorded | 697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c |
| EEL | 94.85 | Not recorded | 697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c |
| EEL | 94.8 | Not recorded | 697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c |
| EL | 94.8 | Not recorded | 697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c |
| EL | 94.75 | Not recorded | 697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c |
| EEL | 94.65 | Not recorded | 697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c |
| EL | 94.65 | Not recorded | 697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c |
| EEL | 94.3 | Not recorded | 697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c |
| EL | 94.15 | Not recorded | 697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c |
| EEL | 94.05 | Not recorded | 697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c |
| EL | 94.05 | Not recorded | 697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c |
| Bootstrap | 93.3 | Not recorded | 697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c |
| Bootstrap | 92.9 | Not recorded | 697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c |
| Bootstrap | 92.85 | Not recorded | 697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c |
| Bootstrap | 92.8 | Not recorded | 697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c |
| EEL | 92.6 | Not recorded | 697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c |
| Bootstrap | 91.7 | Not recorded | 697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c |
| EEL | 91.3 | Not recorded | 697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c |
| Bootstrap | 91.25 | Not recorded | 697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c |
| Bootstrap | 90.4 | Not recorded | 697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c |
| Bootstrap | 90 | Not recorded | 697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c |
| Bootstrap | 89.85 | Not recorded | 697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c |

### EL

Coverage Probability: 95.45. Result ID: 699a312b5698665ec4b6ef94.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"m":"2","n":"4000","alpha":"0.05"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### EEL

Coverage Probability: 95.2. Result ID: 699a312b5698665ec4b6ef95.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"m":"2","n":"4000","alpha":"0.05"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### EL

Coverage Probability: 95.1. Result ID: 699a312b5698665ec4b6efa9.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"m":"10","n":"8000","alpha":"0.05"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### EL

Coverage Probability: 95.05. Result ID: 699a312b5698665ec4b6ef9d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"m":"5","n":"4000","alpha":"0.05"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### EL

Coverage Probability: 94.95. Result ID: 699a312b5698665ec4b6ef97.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"m":"2","n":"8000","alpha":"0.05"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### EEL

Coverage Probability: 94.9. Result ID: 699a312b5698665ec4b6efaa.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"m":"10","n":"8000","alpha":"0.05"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### EEL

Coverage Probability: 94.85. Result ID: 699a312b5698665ec4b6efa1.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"m":"5","n":"8000","alpha":"0.05"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### EEL

Coverage Probability: 94.8. Result ID: 699a312b5698665ec4b6ef98.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"m":"2","n":"8000","alpha":"0.05"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### EL

Coverage Probability: 94.8. Result ID: 699a312b5698665ec4b6ef9a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"m":"5","n":"2000","alpha":"0.05"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### EL

Coverage Probability: 94.75. Result ID: 699a312b5698665ec4b6ef91.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"m":"2","n":"2000","alpha":"0.05"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### EEL

Coverage Probability: 94.65. Result ID: 699a312b5698665ec4b6ef92.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"m":"2","n":"2000","alpha":"0.05"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### EL

Coverage Probability: 94.65. Result ID: 699a312b5698665ec4b6efa0.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"m":"5","n":"8000","alpha":"0.05"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### EEL

Coverage Probability: 94.3. Result ID: 699a312b5698665ec4b6ef9e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"m":"5","n":"4000","alpha":"0.05"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### EL

Coverage Probability: 94.15. Result ID: 699a312b5698665ec4b6efa6.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"m":"10","n":"4000","alpha":"0.05"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### EEL

Coverage Probability: 94.05. Result ID: 699a312b5698665ec4b6ef9b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"m":"5","n":"2000","alpha":"0.05"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### EL

Coverage Probability: 94.05. Result ID: 699a312b5698665ec4b6efa3.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"m":"10","n":"2000","alpha":"0.05"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Bootstrap

Coverage Probability: 93.3. Result ID: 699a312b5698665ec4b6efa2.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6f9e1e209131cea46a6c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"m":"10","n":"2000","alpha":"0.05"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Bootstrap

Coverage Probability: 92.9. Result ID: 699a312b5698665ec4b6efa5.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6f9e1e209131cea46a6c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"m":"10","n":"4000","alpha":"0.05"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Bootstrap

Coverage Probability: 92.85. Result ID: 699a312b5698665ec4b6ef99.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6f9e1e209131cea46a6c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"m":"5","n":"2000","alpha":"0.05"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Bootstrap

Coverage Probability: 92.8. Result ID: 699a312b5698665ec4b6efa8.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6f9e1e209131cea46a6c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"m":"10","n":"8000","alpha":"0.05"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### EEL

Coverage Probability: 92.6. Result ID: 699a312b5698665ec4b6efa7.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"m":"10","n":"4000","alpha":"0.05"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Bootstrap

Coverage Probability: 91.7. Result ID: 699a312b5698665ec4b6ef9f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6f9e1e209131cea46a6c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"m":"5","n":"8000","alpha":"0.05"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### EEL

Coverage Probability: 91.3. Result ID: 699a312b5698665ec4b6efa4.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"m":"10","n":"2000","alpha":"0.05"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Bootstrap

Coverage Probability: 91.25. Result ID: 699a312b5698665ec4b6ef9c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6f9e1e209131cea46a6c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"m":"5","n":"4000","alpha":"0.05"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Bootstrap

Coverage Probability: 90.4. Result ID: 699a312b5698665ec4b6ef93.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6f9e1e209131cea46a6c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"m":"2","n":"4000","alpha":"0.05"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Bootstrap

Coverage Probability: 90. Result ID: 699a312b5698665ec4b6ef90.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6f9e1e209131cea46a6c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"m":"2","n":"2000","alpha":"0.05"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Bootstrap

Coverage Probability: 89.85. Result ID: 699a312b5698665ec4b6ef96.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/697ae981a2b28e761d87d00c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6f9e1e209131cea46a6c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"m":"2","n":"8000","alpha":"0.05"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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